After a prolonged period of unsettled and dreary conditions, we’re finally going to clear out. Let’s break it down… Nerdy Disco: A closed-off upper-level low has been dominating the pattern since last week. This upper-level low parked over the Ohio
Impacts to beyond Jamaica, E Cuba, Haiti and the Bahamas remain fairly uncertain but a few positive trends (for NJ) have taken shape… Matthew is a strong category 4 hurricane in the middle of the Caribbean Sea. He has slowed
Alright Jersey. We’re getting closer so it’s time to get nerdy about Major Hurricane Matthew… Right now, Major Hurricane Matthew is in the middle of the Caribbean Sea making the turn to the N. Today he weakened to a strong
Matthew could reach category 5 hurricane status by tomorrow, if not overnight. What does this mean for New Jersey? Let’s break it down… Right now, Matthew is an absolute beast churning in the Caribbean Sea. He is over 28-29C (~82-84F)
Matthew strengthened into a hurricane earlier today and will now churn in the Caribbean Sea before turning up the US East Coast. Let’s break it down… I mentioned a few times now that I would be using a new forecasting strategy
Tropical Storm Matthew is currently entering the E Caribbean Sea. It is now becoming apparent that a US East Coast hit or at least secondary impacts are possible later next week. Let’s break it down… Matthew took some time to
Invest 97L is approaching the southern Lesser Antilles and will soon be inside the E Caribbean Sea as a named tropical cyclone. Beyond that, models continue to spray a range of solutions with anything from the Gulf of Mexico to
It looks like some much needed rainfall is possible this week. Let’s break it down… Nerdy Disco: I wouldn’t call the entire week a washout. We should still start with a very nice Monday as the high pressure that brought
This is a great time to test out the new forecasting strategy as all eyes now turn to the formation of Matthew in the Atlantic Ocean. If you’re looking for a “will this hit me on my favorite NJ shore
Other than a small chance of a passing shower along a mostly dry cold front, the first weekend of fall looks pretty good. Let’s break it down… Nerdy Disco: Perhaps some upstream physics were slightly disrupted by the typhoon activity
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