Discussion: Yesterday’s isolated thunderstorms were air mass thunderstorms, meaning they formed mostly from upward motion (diurnal instability/sea breeze front) without wind shear. This is common for the warm sector of your classic Norwegian cyclone model, especially this time of year.
Discussion: The high pressure responsible for the spectacular weather today and tomorrow (Friday) will slide out into the ocean by Saturday. This will generate return flow which should pump higher humidity into the equation for Saturday. For this reason, all
Discussion: The only disruptive weather I see this week is Tuesday during PM hours. A cold front should push some rain and possibly thunderstorms through the region. Thunderstorm intensity will be determined by diurnal heating capability during the day on
Discussion: The Bermuda high remains stubbornly parked which should keep the return flow up the east coast in place. This should produce a wet Friday (today) and Saturday (tomorrow). Not all day washouts but certainly periods of outdoor cancelling rainfall/storms.
Discussion: The line of severe thunderstorms is currently pushing through EPA towards NJ. NWNJ is already up at bat with the rest of NJ on deck. This line should continue it’s NW to SE movement over the next 3-5 hours
For full-resolution storm map, please click here! Discussion: A Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) is currently pushing SW through Virginia and Maryland. It should further impact the Delmarva Peninsula over the next few hours. If certain criteria is met then it will
Discussion: The 250mb jet is modeled very zonal this week to the N of NJ. Not much to comment on at 500mb either aside from a prolonged period of above-average height anomalies. Most shortwaves hang in the W US. The
The following link will take you to a PDF file containing the motion for summary judgement as-filed by my attorneys in the US District Court of New Jersey yesterday (May 11, 2018). Parts of the filing are redacted due to the
Discussion: A warm front will push through from our SW to NE overnight. This should bring periods of rainfall and embedded thunderstorms across New Jersey between midnight and mid-to-late morning. A break is then expected until late-afternoon/early-evening. At some point
Discussion: That’s my mom and I in the photo in case you didn’t know. A happy mother’s day weekend to her and to all the moms out there! Once again a long-range weekend forecast has deteriorated in the short-to-mid-term forecasting
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