Discussion: A trough is swinging into place over the NE US. It’s not a deep nor negative tilted trough but certainly packed with below-average temperatures for the region which will influence NJ this week. Much of our precipitation the last
Discussion: This weekend’s weather pattern will mostly be controlled by ridging over the east coast supported by a stubborn Bermuda high. NJ will on the NW side of the ridge which means a few things. First, there is convergence driving
Discussion: Most of NNJ today has reached the ~75F mark. Much of CNJ/SNJ (away from the ocean) has reached the 80F mark. Immediate ECNJ/SENJ coastal areas are hanging in the 55-65F range due to marine influence (the ocean is still
Discussion: Temperatures should moderate back into the 65-75 range tomorrow (Monday) as a warm sector influences NJ with warmer temperatures and higher levels of humidity. A stormfront is then expected to pass through New Jersey from NW to SE between
Discussion: The upper jet should stay to the N of NJ this weekend before crossing S over NJ briefly Tues-Wed and ultimately returning N of NJ by Thursday of next week. This will set the stages for an abnormally warm
Discussion: A shallow positive trough will meander over NJ for much of this week, producing colder temperatures with a slightly unsettled feel. The trough should then give way to a building ridge for the weekend, yielding milder conditions. In the
Discussion: We have a low tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada tonight (Thursday night). A cold front is attached to this low which should push a storm/cold front through NJ. Lightning is yet TBD but we’re at least
Discussion: A potent upper low has crawled across the US from W to E over the last few days…very dynamic with lots of vorticity and clashing air masses of varying temperature/moisture. At the lower levels, this has created quite the
Discussion: We’ll be in a split jet zonal pattern for this weekend into next, the N stream to the N of NJ and the S stream to the S of NJ…which is why there won’t be a phased snowstorm this
Discussion: This storm has certainly juked a lot of us forecasters around. In full and honest transparency, if I haven’t already made it clear, uncertainty is high with this. We’re dealing with specific phase timing required + a possible InVerted
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