Discussion: The models are still all over the place with regard to surface output. The upper-levels are starting to make a little more sense however. It looks like we’ll see a brief +PNA spike fed by an Alaskan upper-level low
Discussion: Given the active pattern we’re in, I’m gaining confidence in an east coast winter storm next ~Tuesday-Wednesday. My argument is not because of the modeled surface snow maps flying around. About the only guidance worth reasonably considering from this range are
Discussion: In my opinion the Upper-Level Low (ULL) moved into the Great Lakes region a hair quicker than expected yesterday-overnight. Also, it crossed the US border with a heading a hair closer to due S rather than S/SE. This rippled through to
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: The primary coastal surface low has formed off South Carolina. It should track just off OBX today and then just to the SE of the 40N/70W benchmark by Tuesday morning. At 500mb, the
Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Discussion: Today is a relatively mild nice sunny day and with good reason. The sun angle is rapidly increasing and the clock adjustment even further brings it home. I want this idea to set
Discussion: I wish I had more to give you at this point but we’re still in a holding pattern due to the complexity of the upper-level physics. We are looking slightly snowier than yesterday though. This is no longer about the
Discussion: For the third time in less than 2 weeks we have a very complicated upper-level setup. The remnant upper-level low (ULL) from Wednesday’s nor’easter is pulling away but still having influence on our region as the southern part of
Discussion: On Friday we could see passing snow showers associated with an upper-level low. Believe it or not this is still upper-level energy related to the recent Wednesday nor’easter. Friday should be very cold aloft yet warmer at the surface
As the last remnant bands finish up in NENJ, I wanted to talk a bit about this storm. Another powerful March nor’easter has had heavy impact on New Jersey. This storm was not as large-scale as last Friday’s but it
Discussion: The storm center is now to the east of New Jersey. It should slowly begin to pull away from the coast to the NE. As this happens precipitation will shut off from SW to NE. I expect far-SW areas near the
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