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Latest NJ Weather Alerts

Nov 15: Winter Storm Surprises

Nov 15: Winter Storm Surprises

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:46, 15.Nov 2018

Discussion: Well, we knew there was a winter storm coming but sometimes mother nature throws a curve-ball. My expectations heading into this system included snow for NWNJ and snow-to-ice-to-rain for mostly everyone else in NJ. Today’s precipitation arrived early and

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Nov 14: Winter Storm Approaching

Nov 14: Winter Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:04, 14.Nov 2018

Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: The general dynamics of this system have not changed. We still have an upper-level low breaking off from a C US trough and enhancing a surface

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Nov 13: Winter Storm Detected

Nov 13: Winter Storm Detected

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:01, 13.Nov 2018

Please click here for full-resolution snow map! Please click here for full-resolution ice map! Discussion: A piece of upper-level energy will break off from a C US trough and form a cut-off 500mb low. This low should crawl through the TN/KY

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Mixed Conditions Continue (Nov 12-16)

Mixed Conditions Continue (Nov 12-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:28, 11.Nov 2018

Discussion: High pressure has control for tonight and will allow temperatures to bottom out low again. It should have control through most daylight hours tomorrow as well. By late Monday evening that high pressure should move away with a weak

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Colder Conditions Expected (Nov 9-11)

Colder Conditions Expected (Nov 9-11)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:48, 8.Nov 2018

Discussion: The two most prominent upper-level features over the next week or so are two troughs. The first trough should swing through this weekend between Saturday and Sunday. The second should swing through between Wednesday and Friday of next week.

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Mixed Conditions Expected (Nov 5-9)

Mixed Conditions Expected (Nov 5-9)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:46, 4.Nov 2018

Discussion: Most of NJ cooled down pretty fast after sunset this evening. I’m seeing many locations in the 30s (elevations, interior, pine barrens, etc) but some are holding in the upper-40s/lower-50s still…mostly along the SENJ coast and near the I-95

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Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Wet Start. Settled Finish (Nov 2-4)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:41, 1.Nov 2018

Discussion: A strong upper-level jet will dominate the E US from now through Saturday morning. This should support two smaller surface disturbances bringing rain to New Jersey. First from early Friday morning through Friday afternoon and then the second from

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November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

November Discussion with WeatherTrends360

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:19, 1.Nov 2018

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how November 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through CNJ and

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Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

Nice Week Expected (Oct 29-Nov 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:12, 29.Oct 2018

Discussion: A trough is departing the E US into the Atlantic Ocean. A week ridge will replace the trough by Wednesday-Thursday before 500mb heights fall again for the weekend. At the surface this means high pressure controlling most of the

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Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

Oct 25: Coastal Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔22:01, 25.Oct 2018

Discussion: Model guidance and live observations continue to tighten on the approaching coastal storm. The upper-levels continue the theme of an E US trough fed by the remnant energy from Willa. The surface solution has been bouncing around but the low’s

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