Unsettled Start. Nice Finish (April 30-May 2)

Unsettled Start. Nice Finish (April 30-May 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:55, 29.Apr 2021

Discussion: An unorganized synoptic system is passing by to our N tonight (Thursday night) through tomorrow (Friday AM). We’re in the warm sector now, closer to the low, which is why our skies are mild and cloudy with a few

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Early Whiff of Summer (April 26-30)

Early Whiff of Summer (April 26-30)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:03, 25.Apr 2021

Discussion: We’ll spend much of this week to the S of the upper-jet (in a ridge). Only the nose of a progressive trough should then swing through between Friday night and Sunday morning before ridging returns for next week. With

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Not Bad (April 23-25)

Not Bad (April 23-25)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:16, 22.Apr 2021

Discussion: The positive axis trough pattern is about to end for the E US. It’s been relentlessly holding us slightly below average in temperature and in some cases (like last night/today) well below average. The 250mb jet should make its

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April 20: Thunderstorms Approaching

April 20: Thunderstorms Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:59, 20.Apr 2021

Discussion: We’ve had a nice run of non-disruptive weather conditions. Tomorrow (Wednesday) that will likely come to an end with a stormy frontal passage. Low pressure will track through PA into New England (just to the NW of NJ) on

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Mixed Conditions (April 19-23)

Mixed Conditions (April 19-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔00:06, 19.Apr 2021

Discussion: The upper level pattern of repeating positive-axis troughs, swinging from central Canada through the E US, will continue this week. Tuesday looks like the mildest day of the week from SW flow culmination ahead of the cold front. Wednesday

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Conditions Improve (April 16-18)

Conditions Improve (April 16-18)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:40, 16.Apr 2021

Discussion: Lower 500mb heights should continue to dominate the pattern with trough after trough swinging down and in from central Canada through the US. Because the troughs feature a positive axis, nothing big can really spin up. It does however

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Slightly Unsettled (April 12-16)

Slightly Unsettled (April 12-16)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:36, 11.Apr 2021

Discussion: The upper levels this week have a very unsettled look. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should alternate between near-average to below-average. This means a lower general atmosphere (cooler aloft) which allows milder rising air and moisture (from higher-angle diurnal surface

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Comfortable Conditions (April 5-9)

Comfortable Conditions (April 5-9)

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:29, 4.Apr 2021

Discussion: Not a lot going on this week. Monday through Thursday fall under the front side of a ridge. This should allow most locations to near-70 during the day and stay above 40 at night. Friday then looks a little

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Cold Start. Nice Finish (April 2-4)

Cold Start. Nice Finish (April 2-4)

Jonathan Carr 🕔00:30, 2.Apr 2021

Discussion: High pressure to our W (over S IL/W KY) is currently producing cold NE quadrant anti-cyclonic flow over NJ. This is tapping colder Canadian air mass and giving us some wind to make it feel even colder in the

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