Improvement!

Improvement!

🕔10:04, 30.Jul 2021

Discussion: That was some evening of severe weather last night! The National Weather Service at Mount Holly, NJ will be investigating several areas today where tornados likely touched down across parts of CNJ and SNJ. It was probably the tornado

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Thunderstorms Approaching!

Thunderstorms Approaching!

🕔11:47, 29.Jul 2021

Discussion: So far this morning’s warm frontal passage has been less than impressive. I woke up to a nice downpour in Ocean County but overall, precipitation has been lighter and there haven’t been any embedded thunderstorms with the first part

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Tomorrow Looks Stormy

Tomorrow Looks Stormy

🕔14:20, 28.Jul 2021

Discussion: Outside of a few possible isolated pop-ups (along sea breeze, etc.), we should remain mostly dry today. Temps are maxing in the low-to-mid 80s. Humidity is a little stickier in SENJ than NWNJ but overall manageable. We should also

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Mixed Conditions

Mixed Conditions

🕔11:41, 26.Jul 2021

Discussion: The 250mb upper jet is going to be over NJ for the next week or so as it rounds the top of the W US ridging and forces lower geopotential heights for the E US. This should nose a

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Great Start. Unsettled Finish.

Great Start. Unsettled Finish.

🕔09:38, 23.Jul 2021

Discussion: The bottom of a very positive axis trough is currently overhead and will dominate much of the Friday-Saturday pattern with NW flow aloft. Upper-level flow will return to more of a W/NW direction once geopotential heights relax after the

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Relief!

Relief!

🕔13:27, 19.Jul 2021

Discussion: This week we’ll see average to just below-average geopotential heights. The stubborn W US ridge will really flex this week forcing troughing in the E US. Therefore, we’re cooler and drier this week in the E US but still

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Hot and Unsettled

Hot and Unsettled

🕔12:31, 15.Jul 2021

Discussion: Higher geopotential heights with an upper-jet to our N (thanks to the Bermuda high return flow) should control the pattern to start this weekend. At the surface, NJ will be warm-sectored Friday and Saturday. This means relentless humidity and

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A Triple H Week

A Triple H Week

🕔10:41, 12.Jul 2021

Discussion:  The upper-jet will stay well to the N of NJ this week, as it commonly does with summertime ridging pumped by a Bermuda high. We’ve been stuck in a W US ridge pattern however the Bermuda high has been

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Conditions Improve. Humidity Lingers.

Conditions Improve. Humidity Lingers.

🕔11:38, 9.Jul 2021

Discussion: Elsa moved through about as expected. Overall? A widespread run-of-mill overnight rain and wind event that we’ve seen many times before. Some SENJ locations finished with close to three inches of rain while areas like NWNJ failed to reach

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Into the Unknown

Into the Unknown

🕔11:43, 8.Jul 2021

Discussion: Elsa is barely hanging onto tropical storm criteria with maximum sustained winds at 40mph with gusts to 45mph. She’s currently near the east-central border of NC/SC with rain bands extended as far N as Virginia (approaching S tip of

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