Discussion: Going to cover a few things today. The up-front stuff is high confidence, and the later stuff is lower confidence. First, of high confidence, is the synoptic-driven warmth that started today (Wednesday). High temperatures this afternoon reached into the
Discussion: We’re currently in an Arctic air mass that will be slow to erode mainly because of NW flow ahead of the approaching ridge and the fresh snow pack across NJ and to areas NW of NJ. It’s probably going
Discussion: This is now a lower-end Significant East Coast Storm (SECS) expectation. That’s right, weak SECS. We’ve beaten it to death since around Dec 3-5 (for subscribers) when the signal was identified and here it is coming to fruition. A
Discussion: Real quick, we’ll drop to a range of about 15-25 tonight from NNJ elevations to SNJ coasts under mixed skies. Saturday will likely reach into the 40s for much of the coastal plain for daytime highs. Temperatures will then
Discussion: The upper jet stream remains locked in the Montana down to MidWest US and over to the Mid-Atlantic US configuration…a zonal flow for the E US. High pressure and the surface reflection under a shortwave will squeeze moisture out
Discussion: An initial wave will track across SE Canada tonight (Tuesday night) with no impact to NJ but thatt will leave, in its wake, a thermal gradient boundary for trailing wave/stronger low to track along from the Great Lakes across
Discussion: We’re going to switch into daily article mode this week (rather than a single weekly outlook) as there is a lot going on. First let’s talk about the current state of things. There’s all sorts of stratospheric warming and
Discussion: The light SNJ snowfall has ended and pushed out to sea. The biggest winners were S and E of the AC Expressway with flurries falling as far N as Burlington and Ocean Counties. A trailing round of lighter precipitation
Discussion: I know last night and today felt cold but there’s even colder air on its way this evening behind the cold front that’s currently pushing NW to SE over the Appalachian Mountains into NJ. I expect it to be
There’s high confidence that a strong cold front will push through Thursday afternoon/evening. This front will be driven by a piece of polar vortex energy and might as well be called an Arctic front. I think we’re starting to see
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