Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, is streaking across the Midwest US and splitting N and S over the Mid-Atlantic US. This is creating some divergence aloft to help power thunderstorms at the muggy surface. At 500mb I’m seeing
Discussion: Let’s call it what it was. After Friday’s rain and storms, beautiful conditions (pollen aside) settled across the region for Saturday through today. Tonight, we’ll lose that as a rain system moves in from the S from a decaying
Discussion: With no major features over the next week, the upper-jet looks rather inconclusive IMO. Stepping down to 500mb, again no major features. A current upper-low will move out after today (Friday) as ridging establishes across the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast
Discussion: Temps tonight should drop to about 60 statewide, give or take a few degrees, as periods of rain continue moving through on-and-off. The upper low remains trapped to the S of the Great Lakes. It will reach peak intensity
Discussion: This weekend looks warm and stormy. An upper closed-off low will get stuck to the S of the Great Lakes and slowly meander across NJ from W to E over the next 5-6 days or so. We can thank
Discussion: The upper jet should dip over NJ this weekend but not too far S of NJ…more right over as a weak trough. This will allow a disturbance to pass through and bring rain, possibly thunderstorms, to NJ between late
Discussion: This entire week in NJ should occur under positive height anomalies. This means mild conditions at the surface with little rain outside of passing spring showers here and there. The next rain system looks to arrive late Friday night
Discussion: The foreseeable upper-level pattern indicates alternating ridging and zonal flows. At the lower levels this means sustained spring warmth. Expect a hotter day Saturday (tomorrow) followed by Sunday-Monday in the 60s. But after that it looks like every day
Discussion: Another trough will pass through midweek, producing cooler conditions for ~Wednesday. But before and after that look mild with temps into 60s for most areas. The arrival of the trough could produce some showers and thunderstorms late tonight/Tuesday. Saturday
Discussion: Isn’t it funny how you can go all of March without wintry precipitation (most areas) and then have to deal with some in April? It’s downright nasty outside right now. Cold and rainy and that should be the case
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