Discussion: At this point, I’m gaining confidence that Melissa will stay out to sea next week once she exits the Caribbean to the N into the Atlantic Ocean. However, Melissa could have a slight upper-level interaction with the system that
Discussion: We’ve been tracking a very long-range storm signal in our premium KABOOM Club areas for a little over a week now. This was identified earlier last week given multiple data sets and a supporting pattern of oscillation status. This
Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, should flow either over or to the S of NJ this week. This is due to a trough dominated pattern, observed at 500mb, which should close out October. This week should feel very
Discussion: The upper jet looks rather meridional as we bounce back and forth between trough, ridge and trough. The current trough is departing (responsible for the colder feel) as a weak but sufficient ridge builds this weekend and warms NJ
Discussion: The nor’easter is pulling away from the E US coast. Still some less intense coastal flooding potential from the general fade away radiative swell of the ocean system, along with the draining estuaries and back bays. But winds have
Discussion: We’re finally to the point where we have a coastal surface low stationed off the coast of SENJ/Delmarva as shown in the below surface pressure level chart from NWS SPC Mesoscale Analysis. The low is weak at ~1008-1006mb but
Discussion: I see a lot of people away from the ocean and up in NNJ wondering where the storm is. I see a lot of people in the coastal regions already crying uncle. I figure a thorough update, in article
Discussion: Not much has changed from yesterday’s update to today. The same upper level synoptics are still in place which is a phase and capture involving an upper low and coastal low. So, I will again break down the expectations
Discussion: A nor’easter is still expected to move in later this weekend and linger through at least Monday, possibly into Tuesday. Before we get to that, expect the coldest night tonight of the current cold stretch. By about 5am tomorrow
Discussion: A nor’easter is becoming likely this Sunday-Monday, possibly stretching into Tuesday if it stalls long enough. A quick recap for the next few days leading into it… Another boss cold front has pushed through and cleared the anomalously warm
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