Erin Forms
Discussion: We have ourselves a ~Verde origin system worth watching as it crosses the Atlantic Ocean via the trade winds over the next several days and ultimately decides where to go from either just over the NE Antilles or just
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Another Nice Weekend. Tropics Waking Up!
Discussion: The upper levels remain unremarkable with little deduction possible. A lot of weak zonal flow with nothing anomalous in either direction regarding geopotential height anomalies. We look rather dry through this weekend and likely through Tuesday as heat and
Summery Conditions. Surf’s Up!
Discussion: The upper levels are rather unremarkable with little deduction…a rather zonal flow with no anomalous height anomalies in either direction. The main player this week will be high pressure stationed over the NE US/SE Canada, providing stiff onshore flow
Late Summer Feelz
Discussion: The upper jet is taking a little dip over NJ for this weekend into early next week. Not an anomalous trough by any means, it’s pretty weak, but at least a much needed cooldown after this past week. The
Summer to Flex Harder
Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, should stay to the N of NJ through Wednesday and then dip below NJ heading into the weekend. This jives with 500mb analysis of a broad central US ridge giving way to a
A Small Taste of Relief
Discussion: Upper level analysis for this week indicates a zonal jet overhead above the bottom tip of a progressive trough for Monday-Tuesday. A ridge then builds over NJ Wednesday into the weekend. This creates two different planets of look and
Unsettled but Relief On Deck
Discussion: Thanks to an overnight cold front, today feels better. The zonal upper level patten should continue through the weekend until a ridge sets up in the Midwest US and puts NJ under N/NW upper flow for Monday-Tuesday. The zonal
Humid Stormy Pattern Sustains
Discussion: What I’m seeing in the upper levels is the jet stream remaining to the N of NJ this entire week with positive geopotential height anomalies locked in. Not a defined ridge because the pattern is rather zonal. But this
Slightly Unsettled but Doable
Discussion: For the “wake me up when it snows” crowd, we’ve lost about 14 minutes since peak June daylight as we begin our initial descent towards the colder months. In the meantime, summer rages on with warm temps, relentless humidity,
Another Stormy Humid Night
Discussion: I’m thinking “Relentless Stormy Humidity” was a good title for this week’s weekly outlook. Last night’s (Tuesday night) storms produced most violently in WCNJ/SWNJ before fizzling a bit for the coast. NNJ saw less intense action. A few tornado
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