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Feb 16: Moving Forward

Feb 16: Moving Forward

🕔21:18, 16.Feb 2016

Some short-range model guidance has been hinting at a period of light snow showers overnight/early tomorrow morning but there’s just not much bite to them on live obs. Basically some weak energy is being strung out to our south but has the

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Feb 16: Tuesday Morning Observations

Feb 16: Tuesday Morning Observations

🕔09:30, 16.Feb 2016

A lot of rain is about to fall between now and afternoon hours. The low is tracking through PA from S/SW to N/NE towards interior New England. As it does so, a very heavy band of precipitation will move through New

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Feb 15: Monday Night Observations

Feb 15: Monday Night Observations

🕔21:53, 15.Feb 2016

Most precipitation has changed over from snow to either sleet, freezing rain or plain rain depending on where you are. Most of SENJ has spiked into the 40s and should be all rain from hereon out. Parts of SWNJ and WCNJ are

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Feb 15: Late Afternoon Observations

Feb 15: Late Afternoon Observations

🕔16:34, 15.Feb 2016

Precipitation continues to spread northward through New Jersey. The high pressure in the ocean has provided E/SE flow which has taken surface temps for coastal NJ and SENJ above freezing. The 850mb southerly jet is taking shape from the developing

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Feb 15: Monday Morning Observations

Feb 15: Monday Morning Observations

🕔10:48, 15.Feb 2016

After some “here and there” light snowfall overnight, heavier rates are now pushing further into SNJ. The principals of this system remain as called. Front end snow (mostly light accumulations) eventually changing to all rain with a possible period of ice between (moreso

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Feb 13: Ice Storm Detected

Feb 13: Ice Storm Detected

🕔19:41, 13.Feb 2016

Model guidance is starting to converge on a solution for Monday into Tuesday. Here are my current thoughts. Tomorrow night’s map will have snow accumulations and ice estimations. Such values are currently too uncertain for me to estimate: The darkest

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Feb 11: Possible Ice Storm Detected

Feb 11: Possible Ice Storm Detected

🕔20:35, 11.Feb 2016

The most recent model guidance is indicating that a low pressure disturbance will form in the Texas area early Monday morning. It should then track through the SE US and turn up the east coast. It will grab a lot of

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Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

🕔12:06, 10.Feb 2016

The weekend looks frigid and another winter storm signal is showing for early next week. Let’s break it all down. Today‘s high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 30s statewide. AM snow bands should move offshore but we’re subject to random localized snow

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Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

🕔21:46, 9.Feb 2016

There it is. The inverted trough. Forecasting kryptonite. You can see see it animated here. The upper-low (clipper) is moving through the E Great Lakes. It’s bringing energy around it’s southern side which is keeping the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US under large

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Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

🕔14:27, 9.Feb 2016

The coldest air mass of the entire winter is coming to New Jersey this weekend. Arctic high pressure will drop out of Canada over the Great Lakes and literally hurl down some of the coldest air on the planet through

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