It’s KABOOMING in NWNJ, KABUSTING in NENJ/CNJ/SWNJ and flooding as expected along the Jersey Coast… The overall trough that is swinging through the E US has tilted negative a bit faster that what model guidance and live observations suggested heading
Here’s how the atmosphere looks as precipitation is starting to break out to our SW… Surface temperatures are at or below freezing for the northern 2/3 of NJ. The lower 1/3 (mostly SENJ) is sitting in the mid-30s. Dew point
Here’s our final call on the approaching major winter storm… Please click here to view full resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: Not much has changed for New Jersey since our forecast and call from yesterday. Therefore most of this discussion will
A late-winter KABOOM is expected for many NJ areas tomorrow night into Tuesday. Here’s our latest thoughts… Please click here to view full-resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: 3 pieces of energy (cyclonic vorticity) are moving into the E US, from
We’re about 48 hours away from from a coastal snow storm. Here are expected accumulations, general timing and coastal flooding concerns… Follow this link for high-resolution version of winter storm impact map. Disco: Our concerns for mixed precipitation types along and
A major snow storm is modeled for next Tuesday-Wednesday. Here are my latest thoughts… Disco: The most noticeable trend to me over the last day or so is a NW shift in storm track. The most accurate data package from
Here’s our final call for snowfall ending tomorrow afternoon… Click here to view full resolution snow map. Disco: A weaker wave of low pressure will traverse a frontal boundary through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic US between overnight tonight and
Here’s our first call on snowfall this Thursday night into Friday. Might make a few minor adjustments tomorrow for final call but likely nothing major… Click here for full-resolution snow map. Disco: This is a light event overall and many
As we continue to approach this weekend rationally and patiently, some trends are evolving… Wave 1 (Thursday Night into Friday Morning): This represents our most imminent snow threat. It’s basically a weak wave of low pressure riding a frontal boundary
This week should start mild and wet but could end cold and snowy. Let’s break it down… Disco: Today through Wednesday should feature southerly flow ahead of a cold front. This should bring mild and unsettled conditions to the region.
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