Beautiful Start. Unsettled Finish (May 31-June 2)

Beautiful Start. Unsettled Finish (May 31-June 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔23:05, 30.May 2019

Discussion: Sorry for the late-post of the weekend outlook. I got in late from a business trip (for my primary career) and it’s been challenging to keep up with this week’s severe weather outbreak. Anyhow the last remnant rain and

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May 29: More Thunderstorms Expected

May 29: More Thunderstorms Expected

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:26, 29.May 2019

Discussion: More thunderstorms are expected today across New Jersey. It won’t be like yesterday and last night (isolated discrete supercells). It should be more of a linear segment riding a cold front. The linear thunderstorm segment looks to disrupt at

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Warm and Unsettled (May 28-31)

Warm and Unsettled (May 28-31)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:14, 27.May 2019

Discussion: The upper jet should basically fap NNJ this week from New England latitude. This will change Friday when brought S over NJ via cold frontal passage. In the meantime this will produce ridging for the SE US but not

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May 23: Thunderstorm Update

May 23: Thunderstorm Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:55, 23.May 2019

Discussion: A few showers and thunderstorms moved through parts of CNJ and SNJ already this morning and today. It looks like we have two more main waves of storms to deal between now and tomorrow morning. The first wave is

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Mixed Conditions (May 23-27)

Mixed Conditions (May 23-27)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:01, 22.May 2019

Discussion: The 250mb jet looks zonal for the weekend oscillating between just over NJ and just to the N of NJ. On Friday we have a very weak and progressive 500mb trough grazing NJ to the NE. After that above-average

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Looking Pretty Good (May 17-19)

Looking Pretty Good (May 17-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:58, 16.May 2019

Discussion: High pressure is generally circulating in the Bermuda region which means one thing for NJ…warmth and humidity. A clipper-like northern disturbance will push through to our N and drag a frontal boundary through Friday night/Saturday morning. Showers and thunderstorms

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Great Conditions Expected for TEDxAsburyPark this Weekend!

Great Conditions Expected for TEDxAsburyPark this Weekend!

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:00, 15.May 2019

It is an absolute honor to partner with TEDxAsburyPark and provide a special event forecast for their big event this weekend! TEDxAsburyPark, an annual Jersey Shore-based conference, is the largest and highest-rated TEDx conference on the east coast, celebrating community,

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Cool Rainy Pattern to Break (May 13-17)

Cool Rainy Pattern to Break (May 13-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:56, 12.May 2019

Discussion: The upper-level pattern will dictate NJ weather conditions this week. Below-average 500mb geopotential height anomalies should last through Thursday which should keep temperatures below-average until then. A ridge should then build over the E US for Friday through the

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More Mixed Conditions (May 10-12)

More Mixed Conditions (May 10-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:02, 9.May 2019

Discussion: Upper-level ridging should depart the area by Friday night/Saturday morning. For Friday PM hours we’re looking at a pre-frontal trough and cold front for lifting mechanisms with a late-evening lull expected between. NNJ is more favored than SNJ for

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Mixed Conditions (May 6-10)

Mixed Conditions (May 6-10)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:54, 6.May 2019

Discussion: The rainy pattern remains active. The upper-jet is still running right through NJ bringing numerous disturbances through. Wednesday looks like warm-frontal showers and Friday looks the wettest with a cold frontal passage. The weekend looks pretty good as of

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