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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Feb 15: Cold Winds Approaching

Feb 15: Cold Winds Approaching

🕔14:28, 15.Feb 2017

Disco: Two shortwaves have tracked across the US and are now phasing together for another powerful coastal New England storm. Had the phase happened a bit earlier, then New Jersey could have seen a significant to major winter storm. Instead,

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Unsettled Week Expected (Feb 13-17)

Unsettled Week Expected (Feb 13-17)

🕔11:04, 13.Feb 2017

An active February pattern continues this week. Let’s break it down… Disco: As far as the Wednesday-Thursday system, there still exists two major players on the field. This period of winter storm potential was first identified last week with a positive-phased

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Feb 12: Storm Update and High Wind Warning

Feb 12: Storm Update and High Wind Warning

🕔10:24, 12.Feb 2017

Mixed wintry precipitation is falling across NNJ. Winds are going to crank tonight-tomorrow. Let’s break it down… Disco: High pressure to the NE is back-feeding the surface and 925mb level with cold air (between I-78/I-80 and northward). The approaching low

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Feb 11: Snow and Ice Impact Maps for NNJ

Feb 11: Snow and Ice Impact Maps for NNJ

🕔14:45, 11.Feb 2017

After review of today’s guidance, here’s our expected snow and ice totals for NNJ overnight tonight and tomorrow… Click here for full resolution snow map. Click here for full resolution ice map. In English: Wintry precipitation could produce dangerous conditions for

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Feb 11: Another Northeast US Storm

Feb 11: Another Northeast US Storm

🕔11:38, 11.Feb 2017

Low pressure will be moving through New Jersey tomorrow (Sunday). It is expected to stay above 1000mb before ejecting into the Atlantic Ocean later tomorrow evening and bombing out for New England on Monday—less than a week after the recent high-impact storm

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Cold Start to the Weekend (Feb 10-12)

Cold Start to the Weekend (Feb 10-12)

🕔20:07, 9.Feb 2017

Overnight tonight we’re cold and gusty. Temperatures should fall into the teens for most. SNJ might hang in the lower 20s but NWNJ could drop into the single-digits. Winds are still gusting 25-35mph across the state which basically makes it feel

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Feb 9: Winter Storm Recap

Feb 9: Winter Storm Recap

🕔11:46, 9.Feb 2017

Some are happy. Some are sad. That is the way of New Jersey snow. Let’s break it down… Official accumulations from NWS Mt. Holly NJ Official accumulations from NWS Upton NY The storm rapidly intensified from Virginia through its Atlantic

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Feb 8: Final Call Snow Map

Feb 8: Final Call Snow Map

🕔16:59, 8.Feb 2017

Live-casting begins now. Here are my final thoughts heading into tomorrow’s winter storm… Click here to view map in full-resolution. Discussion: Well, here we are. The best widespread snow chance of the season is knocking at our door. We have great

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Feb 7: Snow Map and Video Update

Feb 7: Snow Map and Video Update

🕔19:08, 7.Feb 2017

Here are my current thoughts on what to expect for Thursday’s winter snow storm… You can view the full-resolution snow map by clicking here. Text Version of Video: The most recent model guidance (model guidance that post-dates this snow map creation)

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Feb 6: Thursday Snow Update Video

Feb 6: Thursday Snow Update Video

🕔20:25, 6.Feb 2017

Support is increasing for significant snowfall through New Jersey this Wed PM-Thurs AM. Here are my updated thoughts… Text version of video: The timing of this system is much easier to grasp than the final storm track. We’ve always been looking

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