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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Feb 5: Thursday Snow Video

Feb 5: Thursday Snow Video

🕔19:50, 5.Feb 2017

Models continue to suggest snowfall for Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Here are my current thoughts… Text version of video: The upper levels over the US are temporarily aligning in a favorable flow for winter storm development. However, we are lacking

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Volatile Weather Expected (Feb 6-10)

Volatile Weather Expected (Feb 6-10)

🕔11:55, 5.Feb 2017

Conditions should fluctuate this week but possibly end wintry. Let’s break it down… Disco: We should remain on the colder side into Monday. It won’t be as cold as the last few days but still colder. Tuesday and Wednesday then

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Cold and Mostly Dry (Feb 3-5)

Cold and Mostly Dry (Feb 3-5)

🕔21:53, 2.Feb 2017

I just took this picture tonight on my way home. It’s been a while since I’ve been able to grab a sunset shot.  So there’s that. Otherwise, high pressure has control of the region this weekend. That should keep it

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February 2017 Outlook

February 2017 Outlook

🕔19:02, 1.Feb 2017

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how February of 2017 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into

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Jan 31: What Superbowl Storm?

Jan 31: What Superbowl Storm?

🕔19:37, 31.Jan 2017

What once looked like a major snow storm on fantasy-range model guidance now appears weak. Let’s break it down… Disco: A low pressure system will come off the Pacific Ocean onto the W US coast near N California/Oregon in a

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Jan 30: Snow Map for Tomorrow

Jan 30: Snow Map for Tomorrow

🕔18:20, 30.Jan 2017

This time NNJ is targeted for a light snow event. Let’s break it down… Click here to view full resolution snow map. Disco: A quick moving shortwave will trail the system that brought snow to extreme SENJ this morning. At

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Jan 30: Flizzards Possible Today

Jan 30: Flizzards Possible Today

🕔11:13, 30.Jan 2017

Instability-driven snow showers are possible later this afternoon into evening. Let’s break it down… First, a quick recap of this morning. The light snow event happened but about 20-30 miles SE of expectation. Overnight dynamics panned out a bit flatter than

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Jan 29: Snow Map for Tomorrow Morning

Jan 29: Snow Map for Tomorrow Morning

🕔19:16, 29.Jan 2017

SNJ has snow on the way. Here’s the last prediction before live observations begin… Click here for full resolution snow map. Disco: It’s apparent, from looking at radar and other live obs data, that energy is rounding the trough and

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Jan 29: Snow Approaching

Jan 29: Snow Approaching

🕔10:20, 29.Jan 2017

Snow is on the way for parts of SNJ. Here are my latest thoughts on amounts and timing… Disco: I’ve always been impressed with the upper-level setup surrounding this “first-of-four” snow possibilities this week. If you look at 500-700mb heights, there’s

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Jan 27: Snow Discussion

Jan 27: Snow Discussion

🕔10:39, 27.Jan 2017

Some snow possibilities are starting to show up on model guidance. Let’s break it down… If I had a nickel every time someone asked me “When’s it going to snow? or “Where’s the snow?” I’d be working Weather NJ full-time.

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