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Posts From Jonathan Carr

More Snow Possible (Mar 17-19)

More Snow Possible (Mar 17-19)

🕔21:29, 16.Mar 2017

The weekend looks very unsettled with more rain and snow possible. Let’s break it down… Disco: High pressure will have control of Friday and keep it somewhat uneventful as we continue to moderate in temperature. A warm front will then

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Tuesday Morning Observations

Tuesday Morning Observations

🕔10:29, 14.Mar 2017

It’s KABOOMING in NWNJ, KABUSTING in NENJ/CNJ/SWNJ and flooding as expected along the Jersey Coast… The overall trough that is swinging through the E US has tilted negative a bit faster that what model guidance and live observations suggested heading

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Monday Night Observations

Monday Night Observations

🕔22:47, 13.Mar 2017

Here’s how the atmosphere looks as precipitation is starting to break out to our SW… Surface temperatures are at or below freezing for the northern 2/3 of NJ. The lower 1/3 (mostly SENJ) is sitting in the mid-30s. Dew point

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Mar 13: Major Winter Storm Approaching!

Mar 13: Major Winter Storm Approaching!

🕔16:58, 13.Mar 2017

Here’s our final call on the approaching major winter storm… Please click here to view full resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: Not much has changed for New Jersey since our forecast and call from yesterday. Therefore most of this discussion will

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Mar 12: Shutdown Winter Storm Expected!

Mar 12: Shutdown Winter Storm Expected!

🕔16:59, 12.Mar 2017

A late-winter KABOOM is expected for many NJ areas tomorrow night into Tuesday. Here’s our latest thoughts… Please click here to view full-resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: 3 pieces of energy (cyclonic vorticity) are moving into the E US, from

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Mar 11: Winter Storm Expected

Mar 11: Winter Storm Expected

🕔19:04, 11.Mar 2017

We’re about 48 hours away from from a coastal snow storm. Here are expected accumulations, general timing and coastal flooding concerns… Follow this link for high-resolution version of winter storm impact map. Disco: Our concerns for mixed precipitation types along and

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Mar 10: Snow Storm Discussion

Mar 10: Snow Storm Discussion

🕔20:09, 10.Mar 2017

A major snow storm is modeled for next Tuesday-Wednesday. Here are my latest thoughts… Disco: The most noticeable trend to me over the last day or so is a NW shift in storm track. The most accurate data package from

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Mar 9: Final Snow Map

Mar 9: Final Snow Map

🕔17:00, 9.Mar 2017

Here’s our final call for snowfall ending tomorrow afternoon… Click here to view full resolution snow map. Disco: A weaker wave of low pressure will traverse a frontal boundary through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic US between overnight tonight and

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Mar 8: Snow Map for Thursday-Friday

Mar 8: Snow Map for Thursday-Friday

🕔17:03, 8.Mar 2017

Here’s our first call on snowfall this Thursday night into Friday. Might make a few minor adjustments tomorrow for final call but likely nothing major… Click here for full-resolution snow map. Disco: This is a light event overall and many

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Mar 7: Weekend Snow Discussion

Mar 7: Weekend Snow Discussion

🕔21:22, 7.Mar 2017

As we continue to approach this weekend rationally and patiently, some trends are evolving… Wave 1 (Thursday Night into Friday Morning): This represents our most imminent snow threat. It’s basically a weak wave of low pressure riding a frontal boundary

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