Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Feb 15: Monday Morning Observations

Feb 15: Monday Morning Observations

🕔10:48, 15.Feb 2016

After some “here and there” light snowfall overnight, heavier rates are now pushing further into SNJ. The principals of this system remain as called. Front end snow (mostly light accumulations) eventually changing to all rain with a possible period of ice between (moreso

Read Full Article
Feb 13: Ice Storm Detected

Feb 13: Ice Storm Detected

🕔19:41, 13.Feb 2016

Model guidance is starting to converge on a solution for Monday into Tuesday. Here are my current thoughts. Tomorrow night’s map will have snow accumulations and ice estimations. Such values are currently too uncertain for me to estimate: The darkest

Read Full Article
Feb 11: Possible Ice Storm Detected

Feb 11: Possible Ice Storm Detected

🕔20:35, 11.Feb 2016

The most recent model guidance is indicating that a low pressure disturbance will form in the Texas area early Monday morning. It should then track through the SE US and turn up the east coast. It will grab a lot of

Read Full Article
Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

Frigid Weekend Expected (Feb 11-14)

🕔12:06, 10.Feb 2016

The weekend looks frigid and another winter storm signal is showing for early next week. Let’s break it all down. Today‘s high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 30s statewide. AM snow bands should move offshore but we’re subject to random localized snow

Read Full Article
Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

Feb 9: Tuesday Night Observations

🕔21:46, 9.Feb 2016

There it is. The inverted trough. Forecasting kryptonite. You can see see it animated here. The upper-low (clipper) is moving through the E Great Lakes. It’s bringing energy around it’s southern side which is keeping the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US under large

Read Full Article
Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

Feb 9: Arctic Outbreak Detected!

🕔14:27, 9.Feb 2016

The coldest air mass of the entire winter is coming to New Jersey this weekend. Arctic high pressure will drop out of Canada over the Great Lakes and literally hurl down some of the coldest air on the planet through

Read Full Article
Feb 9: Tuesday Morning Observations

Feb 9: Tuesday Morning Observations

🕔08:39, 9.Feb 2016

Low pressure has jumped to the Mid-Atlantic coast and is moving out to sea. You can make out the cyclonic flow east of OBX on the Earth map image. Low pressure will also remain behind over the Great Lakes. The

Read Full Article
Feb 8: Monday Night Observations

Feb 8: Monday Night Observations

🕔22:06, 8.Feb 2016

The clipper has reached the end of its road near the Great Lakes. Over the next 6 hours, I expect it to transfer to the Mid-Atlantic coast as indicated below. It will then strengthen as it moves NE and help

Read Full Article
Feb 8: Snow Storm Approaching!

Feb 8: Snow Storm Approaching!

🕔17:56, 8.Feb 2016

Here’s are my thoughts heading into this redonkulously difficult forecast: Discussion: Low pressure is about to transfer from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic coast near the VA/NC border. It will then move NE into the Atlantic Ocean and bring upon

Read Full Article
Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

🕔08:29, 8.Feb 2016

The coastal low has intensified below 980mb and continues to deepen. It’s located directly east of the Delmarva Peninsula but pretty far out to sea. It appears that the NW extent of its precipitation shield is just starting to impact

Read Full Article