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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

Feb 8: Monday Morning Observations

🕔08:29, 8.Feb 2016

The coastal low has intensified below 980mb and continues to deepen. It’s located directly east of the Delmarva Peninsula but pretty far out to sea. It appears that the NW extent of its precipitation shield is just starting to impact

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Feb 7: Sunday Night Observations

Feb 7: Sunday Night Observations

🕔21:13, 7.Feb 2016

The coastal low has deepened down to about 986mb. Coastal New Jersey should already be feeling the NE winds associated with the cyclonic flow to the north of the low. This should begin elevating tides above normal. Once the winds eventually switch

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Feb 7: What to Expect Monday-Wednesday

Feb 7: What to Expect Monday-Wednesday

🕔13:42, 7.Feb 2016

As I sit here trying to make a final snow accumulations map, I’m realizing that there’s too much variance in what could possibly happen. Therefore, any snow map issued would have a tremendous likelihood of busting. I would rather be honest

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Feb 6: Winter Storm Discussion

Feb 6: Winter Storm Discussion

🕔09:54, 6.Feb 2016

The February 8-10 period has been of great interest to me for a while now. Not because of any particular surface solution modeled, but because of the consistency in the modeled upper-level pattern. If you’re looking for how much snow the

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Sunny Weekend Expected (Feb 5-7)

Sunny Weekend Expected (Feb 5-7)

🕔19:53, 5.Feb 2016

Today we saw lots of melting but tonight we’ll see lots of freezing. The weekend looks pretty good but next week is full of potential problems. Let’s break it down. Tonight’s temperatures should fall into the teens for NNJ elevations and 20s

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Long Range Outlook through February 2016

Long Range Outlook through February 2016

🕔10:37, 4.Feb 2016

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how the rest of February plays out. But first lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into

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Feb 3: Coastal Snowfall Detected!

Feb 3: Coastal Snowfall Detected!

🕔20:02, 3.Feb 2016

  After the rain pushes through tonight, the cold front will stall just off our coast. A weak area of low pressure will then travel northward along the stationary front and throw in some moisture off the Atlantic Ocean into

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Feb 2: Heavy Rainfall Detected

Feb 2: Heavy Rainfall Detected

🕔15:10, 2.Feb 2016

First, Happy Groundhog’s Day to all. Second, the groundhog is going to bust as the Arctic gates are expected to open for mid-February. Now let’s get down to business… The energy responsible for the current N Midwest US snow storm will

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Mild Week Could End Wintry (Feb 1-5)

Mild Week Could End Wintry (Feb 1-5)

🕔20:30, 31.Jan 2016

This week should start mild and end colder with the threat of rain and thunderstorms mid-week followed by possible coastal snowfall on Friday. Let’s break it down. Monday (Feb 1) high temperatures should reach the mid-to-upper 50s statewide. Breaking into

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Not Too Shabby Weekend Expected (Jan 29-31)

Not Too Shabby Weekend Expected (Jan 29-31)

🕔23:11, 28.Jan 2016

Two systems will phase to our E this weekend. If they did so earlier we might have had another snow storm to deal with but nope! With that said, the weekend looks rather uneventful weather-wise aside from a few passing

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