We’re dropping well below freezing tonight but the week looks to moderate in temperature. The weekend holds great uncertainty as model guidance is trying to suggest another synoptic event. Let’s break it down. Monday (Jan 25) high temperatures should reach
Here’s a recap of the January 2016 historic weekend winter storm that impacted tens of millions of people in the Mid-Atlantic US. Friday Evening, The snowfall had started earlier than expected. This was reminiscent of how the great January 1996
The light gray area represents a sharp cut-off of snowfall. This is due to confluence and very dry air. The difference of 20 miles N or S could mean the difference between a dusting and up to 10 inches of
The latest model guidance as well as live observations of the system’s maturity to our SW are leading towards a colder solution for southern areas and less accumulations for points north. I have adjusted my map accordingly. The red line
We’re about 54 hours away from our weekend winter storm. Here’s my snow map: The light pink area is subject to lesser snowfall amounts due to possible mixing. Expect 40-60mph wind gusts off the ocean along with moderate to high
We’re just 72 hours from a possible major east coast winter storm and here’s what the latest data tells us. Today’s 12Z and 18Z model suites have trended colder for New Jersey. This means less potential mixing to the SE
Temperatures should crash overnight as an Arctic front passes through the region. This will set the stage for a cold week ahead of a possible late-week winter storm. Let’s break it down. Monday (Jan 18) high temperatures should be held in the
We have a lot to talk about. First, we have today’s possible light snow event. This was actually a system that I’ve been watching for a long time. It was aggressively modeled in a supportive pattern in the long-range forecasting
A powerful coastal storm will track from OBX to the benchmark tonight through tomorrow morning. The latest short-range model guidance (4k NAM + RGEM) suggest a low pressure intensity of ~990mb when it ejects over OBX and a sub-980mb intensity when
The weekend starts mild and rainy but ends cold with some light snow possible heading into Monday. Let’s break it down. Friday (Jan 15) high temperatures should range from 45-50 (NNJ elevations to the SNJ coast). The day might start
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