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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Nov 25: Final Snow Map for Wednesday Winter Storm

Nov 25: Final Snow Map for Wednesday Winter Storm

🕔17:59, 25.Nov 2014

Here’s my final snow map for tomorrow. A coastal winter storm will impact most of the mid-Atlantic and Northeast US region the day before Thanksgiving. It’s now time to abandon model guidance and now-cast the system based on current observations.

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Nov 24: Winter Storm Update

Nov 24: Winter Storm Update

🕔15:17, 24.Nov 2014

A winter storm is still expected for this Wednesday which will impact millions of people traveling for the Thanksgiving Holiday. Most model guidance is currently suggesting a coastal  low pressure track near or just inside the benchmark (40N/70W). There is

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Wintry Week Expected (Nov 24-28)

Wintry Week Expected (Nov 24-28)

🕔09:51, 24.Nov 2014

A very powerful low pressure disturbance is currently over the Great Lakes region which is drawing up warmth and moisture from the south. That will result in a very mild start to the week. A secondary coastal low pressure system

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Nov 23: Winter Storm a GO for Wed-Thurs!

Nov 23: Winter Storm a GO for Wed-Thurs!

🕔18:22, 23.Nov 2014

A winter storm will impact the entire I-95 corridor from DC to Boston right before Thanksgiving impacting millions who are traveling. Model guidance is coming to a consensus for a coastal low pressure disturbance to ride up the east coast in

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Nov 22: Winter Storm Detected!

Nov 22: Winter Storm Detected!

🕔17:47, 22.Nov 2014

Model guidance continues to suggest a coastal low pressure disturbance riding up the coast in the Wednesday-Thursday period. As far as expected accumulation amounts and where the snow/rain line will set up, we’re going to have to monitor very closely. Given

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Nov 21: Big Big Changes Coming!

Nov 21: Big Big Changes Coming!

🕔21:43, 21.Nov 2014

FROM THE 30S TO 70..BACK TO 30S OR LOWER – SNOW THREAT LOOMS FOR THANKSGIVING!!! Anytime you see indications of big temperature swings coming it is often pointing to huge things happening in the upper atmosphere. And often times right after

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Nov 21: Watching Thanksgiving Period for Snow!

Nov 21: Watching Thanksgiving Period for Snow!

🕔09:08, 21.Nov 2014

The warm period that will start this Sunday might be shorter lived than expected. A coastal low pressure system is now showing on most weather models that could threaten New Jersey with snow in the Wednesday-Thursday period. We’re a ways

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Dry Weekend Expected—Starts Cold Ends Mild (Nov 21-23)

Dry Weekend Expected—Starts Cold Ends Mild (Nov 21-23)

🕔17:31, 20.Nov 2014

High pressure is on its way from Canada. It will pass over the Ohio Valley and eject into the Atlantic Ocean near the Outer Banks of North Carolina. For the first half of the weekend (while the high pressure center

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Nov 20: Massive Great Lakes Storm Expected!

Nov 20: Massive Great Lakes Storm Expected!

🕔11:33, 20.Nov 2014

After high pressure moves through the region this Saturday-Sunday, a powerful low pressure system will form in Texas and rapidly strengthen as it moves towards the Great Lakes. What does that mean for New Jersey? A warm period of southerly

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Nov 19: Is this the winter 1976-77 replay?

Nov 19: Is this the winter 1976-77 replay?

🕔12:32, 19.Nov 2014

WESTERN NY MEGA LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL Weather people, and for that matter most people when facing situations from day to day, fall back to comparing similar events in the past in order to anticipate outcomes. It happened like this once

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