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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Christmas Week Forecast (Dec 22-26)

Christmas Week Forecast (Dec 22-26)

🕔17:38, 21.Dec 2014

A powerful low pressure disturbance will form and move into the Great Lakes region this week. Models generally have the synoptic disturbance in the 965mb-980mb range of intensity which will eventually help change the entire pattern over the US. For

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Chilly but Dry Weekend Expected (Dec 19-21)

Chilly but Dry Weekend Expected (Dec 19-21)

🕔21:27, 18.Dec 2014

Temperatures should be seasonal if not slightly below average this weekend. Weak but high pressure will have control of the entire region. As far as next week goes, there’s tremendous uncertainty of storm track(s) and precipitation types with a common theme

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Dec 17: White Christmas Chances Decreasing

Dec 17: White Christmas Chances Decreasing

🕔17:14, 17.Dec 2014

Model guidance has trended away even further from a New Jersey snow storm this Saturday-Sunday. The current modeled forecast for the weekend appears to be some light rain Saturday night followed by scattered snow showers on Sunday morning with accumulations

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Dec 16: Weekend Storm and White Christmas Update

Dec 16: Weekend Storm and White Christmas Update

🕔19:40, 16.Dec 2014

We’ve got a lot to talk about! First, the weekend storm now looks like it will take a southerly track which would bring more of a light to moderate snow event to the region Saturday night into Sunday. The massive

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Dec 15: Weekend Winter Storm Update

Dec 15: Weekend Winter Storm Update

🕔20:04, 15.Dec 2014

Model guidance continues to suggest an east coast winter snow storm this weekend. A few other models have hopped on the train as well. Timing now looks like Saturday into Sunday which could cause holiday shopping headaches and possibly a White

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Calm and Mild Week Before the Storm (Dec 15-19)

Calm and Mild Week Before the Storm (Dec 15-19)

🕔10:11, 15.Dec 2014

All eyes are no doubt on the east coast winter storm setting up for this weekend. First we need to get through this week which for the most part looks calm and mild. Let’s break it down: Monday should range

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Dec 14: East Coast Snow Storm Detected!

Dec 14: East Coast Snow Storm Detected!

🕔11:33, 14.Dec 2014

The European model has been talking about an east coast snow storm for more than a few runs now. Historically when that happens you should listen. The timing for this system looks like the general December 19-23 period which of course

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Dry and Sunny Weekend Expected (Dec 12-14)

Dry and Sunny Weekend Expected (Dec 12-14)

🕔09:58, 12.Dec 2014

The low pressure system that has been impacting the region since Monday night is finally moving away to the northeast. High pressure will now move in and dry things out for the weekend. Let’s look at each day: Friday will

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Dec 11: Possible White Christmas Detected!

Dec 11: Possible White Christmas Detected!

🕔14:03, 11.Dec 2014

For the winter lover who lives along and SE of the I-95 corridor, December has been pretty “meh” so far. Some strong long-range signals indicate that’s about to change for the holidays and heading into January. While it’s way too

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Dec 10: Coastal/Snow Storm Update

Dec 10: Coastal/Snow Storm Update

🕔16:18, 10.Dec 2014

What a bizarre storm system! So far there have been a few curveballs thrown but here’s a quick recap and what to expect this evening through tomorrow. First, the rain ended yesterday morning/early afternoon which was earlier than scheduled. A

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