Instability-driven snow showers are possible later this afternoon into evening. Let’s break it down… First, a quick recap of this morning. The light snow event happened but about 20-30 miles SE of expectation. Overnight dynamics panned out a bit flatter than
SNJ has snow on the way. Here’s the last prediction before live observations begin… Click here for full resolution snow map. Disco: It’s apparent, from looking at radar and other live obs data, that energy is rounding the trough and
Snow is on the way for parts of SNJ. Here are my latest thoughts on amounts and timing… Disco: I’ve always been impressed with the upper-level setup surrounding this “first-of-four” snow possibilities this week. If you look at 500-700mb heights, there’s
Some snow possibilities are starting to show up on model guidance. Let’s break it down… If I had a nickel every time someone asked me “When’s it going to snow? or “Where’s the snow?” I’d be working Weather NJ full-time.
Rain has cleared out and we’re now looking cold and dry for the weekend. Let’s break it down… Disco: The frontal wave/disturbance that brought light rainfall to the region has cleared out. A cold front is moving through tonight-tomorrow and it
The January thaw is about to end as we approach a prolonged period of cold. Let’s break it down… First, a quick recap of the coastal storm. NWNJ saw wintry precipitation in the form of mostly sleet/some wet snow. The
Here’s how the rest of tonight should play out from here… The current radar is detecting sleet (pink) in NNJ and parts of CNJ due to a cold 925mb layer beneath a marginal 850-700mb. This is what’s preventing an all
The coastal storm is well underway but peak intensity is still to come. Let’s break it down… Right now, the primary surface low is about 988mb and tracking from W NC to OBX. Upper-level lows are closed off from 300-700mb
This will be the last predictive article heading into this event. All posts from this point forward will focus on live observations. We have 4 components of this system that we’re watching closely: Wintry precipitation, rain, wind and coastal flooding. Eastern
The prime impact window for this event is narrowing down to late Sunday night-early Tuesday AM. Let’s break it down… Disco: The upper-levels continue to strongly support a strong 250mb jet pattern enhancing and interacting with a cut-off 500mb low which
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