Discussion: Per the 11AM National Hurricane Center update Dorian is a category 1 hurricane moving NW at 13mph with a central pressure of 984mb. This is going to be a pretty grim update for Florida. Dorian will now move through
Discussion: All of a sudden the tropics are hot. Tropical Storm Erin should remain out to sea but residents along the SE US (Florida to OBX) should begin paying attention to the evolution of Tropical Storm Dorian. The upper-level pattern
Discussion: The upper-jet remains to our N in Canada. It seems to be breaking into short-term split flow patterns here and there but overall 250-500mb flow seems flat and zonal out of the W. Surface high pressure positioning has produced
Discussion: There’s not much to talk about in the upper-levels. The 250mb jet should perform a small dip over the weekend with 500mb geopotential height anomalies near-average. The main driver I’d like to focus on is the surface high that
Discussion: Another hot and humid day is expected across much of the region today. An area of organized low pressure is lifting to the NW in SE Canada. This is the driver of the warm and moist SW flow (the
Discussion: The upper-jet should hold to the N of NJ through about Thursday. This will allow 500mb geopotential heights to ridge across the Mid-Atlantic US and keep us warm, humid and unsettled. Temps shouldn’t be unbearable or record-breaking but the
Discussion: The upper-level jet should remain flat and zonal across the region with no major jet streaks to contend with. By the end of the weekend/start of next week we might see a split-flow pattern emerge just to our W
Discussion: We’re going to do the weekly outlook and Tuesday thunderstorm discussion in a single article. Today we saw elevated levels of humidity return after a pleasant weekend. And when I say pleasant I mostly mean the humidity. I realize
Discussion: A mostly dry cold front will push through NJ tonight through tomorrow morning. A few showers and even boomers are possible, from now through tonight along the front, but likely non-severe. We’re then in for a real treat this
Discussion: A cold front will push through NJ this evening between about 5pm and 10pm. It hardly makes sense to use the word cold in cold front because all it will do is take temps and dews down a few
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