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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Cold Dry Week Ends Mild Wet (Dec 10-14)

Cold Dry Week Ends Mild Wet (Dec 10-14)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:59, 10.Dec 2018

Discussion: 500mb heights should remain below-average for much of this week. A trailing shortwave should reinforce the cold Tuesday night/Wednesday morning at the surface. We should then moderate for a likely-wet weekend. There’s cold air aloft and the ocean is

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Dec 6: Weekend Storm Update

Dec 6: Weekend Storm Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:38, 6.Dec 2018

Discussion: This article will act as both the weekend outlook and winter storm discussion for the Sunday-Monday period.  A weak cold front will push through between tonight and early tomorrow morning. Aside from the start of colder weekend temperatures a few

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Dec 4: Let’s Talk Snow

Dec 4: Let’s Talk Snow

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:42, 4.Dec 2018

Discussion: We have two opportunities for snow this week. I don’t need to tell you that colder air is in place and it will stay over the Mid-Atlantic US well into next week. The first opportunity will likely be a very

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Cold Dry Conditions Expected (Dec 3-7)

Cold Dry Conditions Expected (Dec 3-7)

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:25, 2.Dec 2018

Discussion: Real quick: The Weather NJ mobile app is now live on Apple and Google …an early holiday gift to you all! The Dec 4-5th winter storm signal will be squashed way to the to the S of NJ by cold northerly

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December Discussion with WeatherTrends360

December Discussion with WeatherTrends360

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:23, 30.Nov 2018

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how December 2018 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ through CNJ and

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Mild Wet Conditions Expected (Nov 30-Dec 2)

Mild Wet Conditions Expected (Nov 30-Dec 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:35, 29.Nov 2018

Discussion: A very weak disturbance could produce light precipitation Friday PM. Some of NNJ, lets say ~I-80 and N, could see frozen precipitation. Not much total moisture is involved with this so little-to-no accumulation is expected. Let’s still use some

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Wet Start. Cold Dry Finish (Nov 26-30)

Wet Start. Cold Dry Finish (Nov 26-30)

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:47, 25.Nov 2018

Discussion: The +PNA/-NAO/-AO pattern is in-place but a Mid-Atlantic winter storm will likely not happen this week. Instead a series of low transfers (Great Lakes->Gulf of Maine->Nova Scotia) should occur and eventually produce a very strong storm well to our

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Mild Wet Conditions (Nov 24-25)

Mild Wet Conditions (Nov 24-25)

Jonathan Carr 🕔09:42, 24.Nov 2018

Discussion: 500mb heights should remain below-average through the weekend and especially next week. As high pressure departs further into the Atlantic Ocean this weekend, low pressure cutting to our NW into Canada will assist with the southerly flow. Tonight low

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Frigid Conditions Expected (Nov 19-23)

Frigid Conditions Expected (Nov 19-23)

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:01, 19.Nov 2018

Discussion: A strong upper-level NW jet will set up on the backside of a trough this week. This should deliver a blast of very cold air to NJ between Wednesday evening and Friday morning making Thursday (Thanksgiving Day) the bottom-out

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Cold Uneventful Conditions Expected (Nov 16-18)

Cold Uneventful Conditions Expected (Nov 16-18)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:56, 16.Nov 2018

Discussion: The upper levels look very zonal through this weekend and into next week until a trough tries to slide in midweek. Zonal means calm and uneventful so that should be some good news for Thanksgiving travel. With the trough

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