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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Mar 22: Hang in there Jersey!

Mar 22: Hang in there Jersey!

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:12, 22.Mar 2017

Warmer weather is on the way. Just a few more cold bumps until such becomes sustained… Disco: Departing low pressure and approaching high pressure should bring a trough of colder air through our region today through tomorrow. With this transition

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An Alright Week Expected (Mar 20-24)

An Alright Week Expected (Mar 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:58, 19.Mar 2017

An overall stable week of weather is expected with just a few SNJ notes. Let’s break it down… Disco: For the most part, high pressure will be in control this week. The first area of high pressure is basically here

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Mar 17: Weekend Snow Map

Mar 17: Weekend Snow Map

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:14, 17.Mar 2017

Here’s our wintry expectations for the weekend… Please click here for full-resolution impact map. Disco: This map covers the precipitation that will move in early tomorrow morning ahead of the warm front and linger through tomorrow evening. This map does not

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More Snow Possible (Mar 17-19)

More Snow Possible (Mar 17-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:29, 16.Mar 2017

The weekend looks very unsettled with more rain and snow possible. Let’s break it down… Disco: High pressure will have control of Friday and keep it somewhat uneventful as we continue to moderate in temperature. A warm front will then

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Tuesday Morning Observations

Tuesday Morning Observations

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:29, 14.Mar 2017

It’s KABOOMING in NWNJ, KABUSTING in NENJ/CNJ/SWNJ and flooding as expected along the Jersey Coast… The overall trough that is swinging through the E US has tilted negative a bit faster that what model guidance and live observations suggested heading

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Monday Night Observations

Monday Night Observations

Jonathan Carr 🕔22:47, 13.Mar 2017

Here’s how the atmosphere looks as precipitation is starting to break out to our SW… Surface temperatures are at or below freezing for the northern 2/3 of NJ. The lower 1/3 (mostly SENJ) is sitting in the mid-30s. Dew point

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Mar 13: Major Winter Storm Approaching!

Mar 13: Major Winter Storm Approaching!

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:58, 13.Mar 2017

Here’s our final call on the approaching major winter storm… Please click here to view full resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: Not much has changed for New Jersey since our forecast and call from yesterday. Therefore most of this discussion will

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Mar 12: Shutdown Winter Storm Expected!

Mar 12: Shutdown Winter Storm Expected!

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:59, 12.Mar 2017

A late-winter KABOOM is expected for many NJ areas tomorrow night into Tuesday. Here’s our latest thoughts… Please click here to view full-resolution winter storm impact map. Disco: 3 pieces of energy (cyclonic vorticity) are moving into the E US, from

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Mar 11: Winter Storm Expected

Mar 11: Winter Storm Expected

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:04, 11.Mar 2017

We’re about 48 hours away from from a coastal snow storm. Here are expected accumulations, general timing and coastal flooding concerns… Follow this link for high-resolution version of winter storm impact map. Disco: Our concerns for mixed precipitation types along and

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Mar 10: Snow Storm Discussion

Mar 10: Snow Storm Discussion

Jonathan Carr 🕔20:09, 10.Mar 2017

A major snow storm is modeled for next Tuesday-Wednesday. Here are my latest thoughts… Disco: The most noticeable trend to me over the last day or so is a NW shift in storm track. The most accurate data package from

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