Discussion: We’re finally to the point where we have a coastal surface low stationed off the coast of SENJ/Delmarva as shown in the below surface pressure level chart from NWS SPC Mesoscale Analysis. The low is weak at ~1008-1006mb but
Discussion: I see a lot of people away from the ocean and up in NNJ wondering where the storm is. I see a lot of people in the coastal regions already crying uncle. I figure a thorough update, in article
Discussion: Not much has changed from yesterday’s update to today. The same upper level synoptics are still in place which is a phase and capture involving an upper low and coastal low. So, I will again break down the expectations
Discussion: A nor’easter is still expected to move in later this weekend and linger through at least Monday, possibly into Tuesday. Before we get to that, expect the coldest night tonight of the current cold stretch. By about 5am tomorrow
Discussion: A nor’easter is becoming likely this Sunday-Monday, possibly stretching into Tuesday if it stalls long enough. A quick recap for the next few days leading into it… Another boss cold front has pushed through and cleared the anomalously warm
Discussion: Let’s do the immediate rain first. After a warm couple of days, rain arrives tonight around 8-10pm for most of NJ, falls mostly overnight and clears out by early afternoon tomorrow (Wednesday), if not sooner by late morning. This
Discussion: The upper levels indicate a sharp transition from ridge to trough for the Mid-Atlantic US and much of the E US. At the lower levels we have two areas of high pressure, one over the ocean near Bermuda and
Discussion: Another chilly night tonight (Thursday) as overnight temps fall into the 40s for most of NJ. Coasties closer to 50 and NNJ elevations with the best chance to dip slightly below 40. Our boss cold front came through and
Discussion: Fall is going to finally settle in this week. We have two more days, Monday and Tuesday, where it will be slightly warmer and more humid than most would like to see this time of year. A boss cold
Discussion: I was happy to see the rain hold off today, allowing as much dry daytime hours as possible. As mentioned in the weekend outlook earlier, this is a weak disturbance moving through. The low is currently pushing from NC
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