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Posts From Jonathan Carr

For the First Time in Forever

For the First Time in Forever

🕔12:51, 31.Dec 2023

Discussion: First and foremost, everyone please have a safe and Happy New Year! That includes this evening and all of 2024. I know the snow lovers out there are disappointed with the first third of Winter 2023-2024. An east-based El

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Snow Unlikely Until 2024

Snow Unlikely Until 2024

🕔15:53, 29.Dec 2023

Discussion: I was out of town for a bit through Christmas and apologize for the lack of content during such. I’m back now and we’re closing out the final weekend of 2023. In my last article I had mentioned a

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Outlook through Christmas

Outlook through Christmas

🕔17:59, 22.Dec 2023

Discussion: A broad area of high pressure has provided colder flow the last few days while it was set up to our NW. It is now passing over the east coast and heading out to sea. While the high is

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Rainstorm Developing for Sunday-Monday

Rainstorm Developing for Sunday-Monday

🕔17:11, 15.Dec 2023

Discussion: We’re dry and milder through Saturday. A rainstorm is currently developing and will deliver impacts to New Jersey from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. The low is currently developing in the Gulf of Mexico and will ride up the

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Another Late-Weekend Storm Detected

Another Late-Weekend Storm Detected

🕔13:47, 14.Dec 2023

Discussion: A strong ridge, centered over the Great Lakes, will dominate our New Jersey weather pattern for the next few days (through Sunday) with dry and milder conditions. Here’s the latest GFS-modeled ridge for later tonight into tomorrow morning. Notice

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Major New Jersey Snow Storms

Major New Jersey Snow Storms

🕔16:14, 11.Dec 2023

Lets travel back in time and check out some major snow storms that have affected New Jersey in the past. But first, lets talk about the unique geological and climatological features that have contributed to these major New Jersey snow

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New Jersey Dries Out

New Jersey Dries Out

🕔14:28, 11.Dec 2023

Discussion: The storm system has cleared out. Decent rainfall across New Jersey. Winds got up there for coastal regions last night and especially with the frontal passage around/just after midnight. But most gusts remained below 45mph. Areas away from the

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Storm Begins for Jersey

Storm Begins for Jersey

🕔11:14, 10.Dec 2023

Discussion: The colder trend came to an end on overnight ultra short-range model guidance. Therefore, expectations of how much snow could fall in New Jersey Monday morning are becoming confident. But there’s more to this storm to talk about. To

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Monitoring Messy Monday Morning

Monitoring Messy Monday Morning

🕔22:14, 9.Dec 2023

Discussion: I’ve been watching model guidance trend colder and colder, for this coming Sunday PM-Monday AM storm system, so it’s time for an update. Up until today, the data suggested a mostly rain system for New Jersey. This was because

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Dry and Mild leads to Stormy then Colder

Dry and Mild leads to Stormy then Colder

🕔14:35, 8.Dec 2023

Discussion: A decent transition from dry and mild to stormy and cold will take place between now and Monday. Weekend conditions will initially be dominated by a ridge covering most of the E US (northern 2/3). This makes the forecast

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