Discussion: A weak low will ride the thermal boundary and drive into W PA from the TN area tomorrow (Saturday). Initial precipitation will crash into a wall of cold air at first and generate a front-end snowfall for most of
Discussion: Before we get to wintry and non-wintry expectations for the weekend, let’s look at the forecast leading up to the event. We’ve been in daily article storm mode for a while now and it’s easy to lose focus on
Discussion: We’re in the middle of a six, potentially seven, system onslaught. Three of them have passed, the two snow-to-ice-to-rain systems last week and last night’s CNJ/SNJ event. The next two (system #4 and #5) are also wintry-to-non-wintry systems and
Discussion: A wave will traverse the gradient thermal boundary from W to E today across the US and meet up with a weak coastal low off OBX Tuesday afternoon. The coastal low should enhance a flat/zonal precipitation shield of snowfall
Discussion: If the 18Z model guidance remains consistent through this evening for Tuesday-Wednesday, we will transition to storm mode during the Super Bowl. That means serious tracking for a legitimate snowstorm has begun and there will be zero tolerance for
Discussion: Another slizzard lurks….a snow-to-sleet-to-freezing rain-to plain rain situation (depending on your NJ location) is expected tomorrow (Saturday) into Sunday morning. Here are the wintry impact maps and then we’ll break down the expectations by region again. PLEASE READ DON’T
Discussion: Our first of the three storm signals has passed through, Parts of NNJ saw a coating to an inch of snow+ sleet but sleet was the dominant form of wintry precipitation before most areas went to plain rain. It
Discussion: There’s very little change in our forecast and maps issued yesterday for tonight (Wednesday night) into tomorrow (Thursday). So I am going to use this article opportunity to drill down on what to expect by NJ region. First, here
Discussion: High temperatures in NJ today ranged from about 38-53 N to S. The front-side of anticyclonic flow (N flow) associated with high pressure approaching from the W will drop temperatures much colder through sunset and into overnight hours tonight—bottoming
Discussion: We’re switching to storm tracking mode. This means article updates (likely daily) ahead of expected wintry events rather than the traditional weekly and weekend outlook articles (during boring nice weather times). I’m continuing to see a pattern, favorable for
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