April 29: Heavy Rain & Strong Wind Approaching

April 29: Heavy Rain & Strong Wind Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:54, 29.Apr 2020

Discussion: Another weather system featuring powerful upper-level dynamics should impact New Jersey tonight through Friday morning. Let’s break it down from top to bottom. 250mb jet analysis indicates a strong southerly jet streak for the E US coast on Thursday

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Unsettled Conditions (April 27-May 1)

Unsettled Conditions (April 27-May 1)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:16, 26.Apr 2020

Discussion: There will be no major synoptic storms this week despite the active and meridional look to the upper-level jet and 500mb height anomalies. At the surface we currently (Sunday) have a slow moving and weak low pressure system tracking

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Unsettled Conditions (April 24-26)

Unsettled Conditions (April 24-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:07, 23.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper-level jet should stay to the S of NJ this weekend with a trough of below-average geopotential height anomalies overhead. This should keep NJ and surrounding areas very unsettled with colder air aloft over a milder surface temperature

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Mixed Conditions (April 20-24)

Mixed Conditions (April 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:19, 19.Apr 2020

Discussion: A very active pattern is likely for the next week or so. The upper-levels should see multiple shortwaves and troughs for the Mid-Atlantic US. At the surface the first disturbance is Monday. A low will eject near OBX and

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Unsettled Start. Mild Finish (April 17-19)

Unsettled Start. Mild Finish (April 17-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔09:54, 17.Apr 2020

Discussion: Not much to speak of in the upper levels. A zonal jet pattern overhead with slightly negative geopotential height anomalies. We have a weak disturbance tracking through the N Mid-Atlantic US. It should move in tonight (Friday) and clear

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Rough Start (April 13-17)

Rough Start (April 13-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:39, 12.Apr 2020

Discussion: This week is all about the damaging wind potential on Monday. After that it’s boring. Slightly cooler than we’d all like for this time of year but uneventful as the below daily forecast indicates. So let’s talk about Monday.

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Mixed Conditions (April 10-12)

Mixed Conditions (April 10-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:26, 9.Apr 2020

Discussion: Upper-level geopotential height anomalies look low for as long as I can comfortably see (out to about April 19 or so). Just one transient period of positive anomalies this Sunday-Monday. We have a well-organized system tracking through New England

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Mild Spring Conditions (April 6-10)

Mild Spring Conditions (April 6-10)

Jonathan Carr 🕔14:41, 5.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet looks to stay near/overhead of NJ this week in a zonal configuration. The jet will slowly build intensity and likely flex into a decent streak by Thursday-Friday. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should be near-average for the start

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Turning Milder (April 3-5)

Turning Milder (April 3-5)

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:48, 2.Apr 2020

Discussion: The upper jet is split with the primary streak to our S and a weaker dissolving streak to our N. The N part is powered by the backside (W side) of the departing upper-level low and front side (E

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April 2020 Outlook

April 2020 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔12:24, 2.Apr 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of April 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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