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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 11: Monday Ice Storm Approaching!

Jan 11: Monday Ice Storm Approaching!

🕔21:03, 11.Jan 2015

Just a few tweaks to the forecast/map but here’s my final call…   Warmer air is surging northward in the mid levels of the atmosphere. The surface is holding on to colder temperatures at the surface longer. Precipitation starts as

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Jan 10: Monday Ice Storm Detected!

Jan 10: Monday Ice Storm Detected!

🕔20:41, 10.Jan 2015

I’m ready to make the following initial forecast for Monday’s winter storm: Tonight’s low temperatures will range from single digits in NWNJ to the teens in SENJ. Tomorrow temperatures stick their head above freezing during the day before falling back

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Jan 9: Monday Storm Update!

Jan 9: Monday Storm Update!

🕔19:26, 9.Jan 2015

There’s enough model support, in my opinion, to start getting ready for a winter event to start the week as early as late Sunday night. In tracking the evolution of next week’s weather pattern, here’s where we’re at right now.

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Cold and Dry Weekend Expected (Jan 9-11)

Cold and Dry Weekend Expected (Jan 9-11)

🕔11:40, 9.Jan 2015

High pressure, currently dropping out of Canada, will have full control of New Jersey this weekend. It will move through the Midwest US and pass just to our S into the Atlantic Ocean. This means generally dry conditions but not

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Jan 8: Clipper Approaching and Update on Next Week

Jan 8: Clipper Approaching and Update on Next Week

🕔21:10, 8.Jan 2015

Another clipper is approaching and next week’s winter storm possibility is still on the table. Let go right into detail. Current radar observations indicate snow showers and squalls moving through Ohio and approaching western PA. That puts it on the

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Jan 7: Friday AM Snow Detected…and About Next Week

Jan 7: Friday AM Snow Detected…and About Next Week

🕔19:03, 7.Jan 2015

Before we talk about the snow potential for next week we need to first look at this Friday. Another clipper system will be passing through—this time to our north. Short-range model guidance is indicating a lake-enhanced squall passing through New

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Jan 6: Arctic Cold Air Approaching!

Jan 6: Arctic Cold Air Approaching!

🕔14:59, 6.Jan 2015

Now that the clipper has moved through, very cold Arctic air will move in behind and keep temperatures well below-average starting tonight and heading into the weekend. The coldest moment of this Arctic wave appears to be early Thursday AM

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Snow Map for Tuesday

Snow Map for Tuesday

🕔18:48, 5.Jan 2015

A clipper system is riding the Arctic front heading straight for the mid-Atlantic US. This means light powdery accumulating snowfall tomorrow starting as early as sunrise in WNJ and as late as 9AM in ENJ. Clippers are generally fast movers

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Another Cold Week Expected (Jan 5-9)

Another Cold Week Expected (Jan 5-9)

🕔11:14, 5.Jan 2015

“Listen to the wind blow…watch the sunrise” – The Chain, Fleetwood Mac …That’s the best way I can describe the two cold fronts moving through New Jersey today. One associated with the low that moved through yesterday/overnight and the other moving through

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Jan 4: Light Snow Storm and Arctic Outbreak Detected!

Jan 4: Light Snow Storm and Arctic Outbreak Detected!

🕔09:47, 4.Jan 2015

Over the last few days, I’ve been tracking what’s known as an Alberta Clipper that’s modeled to bring light snow to New Jersey this ~Tuesday. We’re within 72 hours of the event now with strong model guidance support so it

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