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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Jan 22: Weekend Winter Storm Update

Jan 22: Weekend Winter Storm Update

🕔16:00, 22.Jan 2015

A deepening low pressure disturbance will take a classic “benchmark 40N/70W” track between tomorrow and Saturday. This will bring up a a decent amount of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as well as throw in a lot of moisture from

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Jan 21: First Call Snow Map for Saturday

Jan 21: First Call Snow Map for Saturday

🕔21:05, 21.Jan 2015

Discussion: Intensifying low pressure will track from Texas across the northern Gulf of Mexico and up the east coast over the next 72 hours. The storm track is currently modeled to eject into the Atlantic Ocean somewhere over OBX and pass

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Jan 21: Weekend Snow Storm a GO!

Jan 21: Weekend Snow Storm a GO!

🕔14:26, 21.Jan 2015

Model guidance continues to advertise a major coastal low pressure system in the ideal “Benchmark 40N/70W” track/location this weekend. This would mean significant to major snowfall throughout most of New Jersey and surrounding big cities this Saturday. Let’s go right

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Jan 20: Final Call Map for Wednesday Snow

Jan 20: Final Call Map for Wednesday Snow

🕔20:30, 20.Jan 2015

Here’s my final call for tomorrow’s snow.. My rationale after reviewing the latest guidance is mostly based on a connection between the northern low and the coastal low (both weak). The darker blue area should see the most precipitation from

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Jan 20: Major Storm Threats for the Northeast

Jan 20: Major Storm Threats for the Northeast

🕔14:56, 20.Jan 2015

If it winds up that we have not one but 2 major storms to deal with only a couple of days apart it would be the first time that I can remember ever seeing something like this. In fact I

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Jan 20: Major Snow Storm Signal for Weekend

Jan 20: Major Snow Storm Signal for Weekend

🕔11:30, 20.Jan 2015

I’ve been watching this thing on guidance since last week and it’s time to start talking about it. A strong piece of energy is going to dig southward from Colorado down into Texas, pick up a bunch of moisture, and

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Jan 19: Wednesday Snow Map

Jan 19: Wednesday Snow Map

🕔18:49, 19.Jan 2015

After reviewing the latest model guidance and taking into consideration the current synoptic pattern, I’m prepared to issue the following snow map for this Wednesday’s clipper snow event: The general idea here is that weak low pressure will dive into

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Watching Mid-week Snow this Week (Jan 19-23)

Watching Mid-week Snow this Week (Jan 19-23)

🕔13:58, 19.Jan 2015

Today, tomorrow, most of Thursday and Friday should feature seasonably average dry weather. A light snow event could impact the general region on Wednesday and linger into early Thursday AM. Let’s break down each day: Monday should reach the upper 30s

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Jan 18: Clipper Snow Detected

Jan 18: Clipper Snow Detected

🕔21:42, 18.Jan 2015

Temperatures will stay cold for the next several days as a weak low pressure disturbance dives into the region from the W/NW…aka a clipper. Clippers traditionally surprise people with a few quick inches. Snow ratios tend to be higher from

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Jan 17: Coastal Rain Storm Approaching!

Jan 17: Coastal Rain Storm Approaching!

🕔10:41, 17.Jan 2015

A low pressure disturbance will form close to the mid-Atlantic coast Sunday morning and track into New England. This should bring a period of moderate-to-heavy rain to New Jersey from Sunday morning through early Monday AM. The coast is modeled to see

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