Discussion: In the next 12 hours or so, the Upper-Level Low (ULL) should close off over E TX and begin moving towards the S Mid-Atlantic/SE US area. There’s already convection firing in the N Gulf of Mexico which will enhance
Discussion: A coastal storm will develop and impact parts of New Jersey later this weekend, mainly areas along and SE of the I-95 corridor with rain and wind. An Upper-Level Low (ULL) will break off from a very positive-tilted Midwest
Discussion: We currently have a rather large and powerful (979mb) offshore storm tracking E away from the Mid-Atlantic US. This system represents the Feb 6-8 signal that we casually tracked for about a week, ultimately determining a miss out-to-sea. Had
Discussion: So we’ve been in first gear of the cold that started earlier this week and allowed some light snow across NJ, mainly CNJ/SNJ, yesterday morning. At some point between late tonight and tomorrow morning, we’ll shift into a whole
Discussion: The boundary, separating colder temps to the N and milder temps to the S is slowly pushing through NJ and should come to a rest just S/SE of NJ by later tonight. Temps should fall with sundown and the
Discussion: The weather pattern for the next 7 or so days will be dominated by two features. One is a piece of the Tropospheric Polar Vortex (TPV). The other is a frontal boundary that will act as a storm track
Discussion: The weekend is rather straightforward. As of right now (Thursday afternoon) it’s still windy out of the W/NW behind the departing system that brought snow and rain to NJ on Wednesday. These winds should continue howling into Thursday night
Discussion: There’s a tremendous amount of model disagreement with now less than 24 hours before the start of precipitation. Most of it revolves around how far SE the extent of snow will be in New Jersey. The overall consensus is
Discussion: This article will first cover the Wednesday-Thursday snow-to-rain event before we dive into some near-future signals I’m seeing. What we have been referring to as storm 1 arrived yesterday (as snow for NWNJ), precipitated overnight as mostly rain, and
Discussion: The weak low associated with last night-this morning’s precipitation is now E of NJ. Winds have now become northerly for most of NJ and temperatures have dropped enough to return some areas that started wintry and changed to rain,
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