Weekend Washout Expected (Aug 1-3)

Weekend Washout Expected (Aug 1-3)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:34, 31.Jul 2014

I’ve been analyzing multiple weather models (US and foreign) and weather trends for a few days now. Most guidance suggests periods of soaking rain throughout the weekend. As far as exact timing goes, Saturday morning through early afternoon should feature

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Rainy Weekend Possible (Aug 2-3)

Rainy Weekend Possible (Aug 2-3)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:39, 30.Jul 2014

Just one more cooler day to get through. Winds should shift to a southwesterly flow today which will bring warmth and humidity northward into our region tomorrow. As we head into the weekend, I’m currently watching a low pressure disturbance¬†

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July 28: Watching the Tropics

July 28: Watching the Tropics

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:39, 28.Jul 2014

A tropical wave in the Atlantic Ocean will become a tropical depression in the next few days and ultimately Bertha. Despite being surrounded by dry air, this wave is indeed showing signs of strengthening. Current projected track is extremely uncertain this

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Cooler Summer Continues (July 28-Aug 1)

Cooler Summer Continues (July 28-Aug 1)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:40, 28.Jul 2014

Another cool air mass is moving into the region from the northwest. The low pressure disturbance that brought last night’s storms is moving out while high pressure moves in behind a cold front. This should keep most of the week

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July 27: It’s Show Time

July 27: It’s Show Time

Jonathan Carr 🕔21:33, 27.Jul 2014

Thunderstorms are moving into western New Jersey (Philly-northward). They will continue to push ENE until they clear out to sea. These storms should continue to push towards the NYC Metro area overnight. Due to cooler air aloft, there are many

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July 27: Evening Storms Approaching!

July 27: Evening Storms Approaching!

Jonathan Carr 🕔18:34, 27.Jul 2014

Thunderstorms continue to push ENE across Pennsylvania towards New Jersey. They’re not moving very fast so estimated impact is still at least a few hours away. Given the current setup and radar observations, it appears that NNJ has a better

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July 27: Evening Storms Expected

July 27: Evening Storms Expected

Jonathan Carr 🕔09:45, 27.Jul 2014

Showers and storms have already moved through the region early this morning. While weaker showers and storms can happen at any time today, the primary threat appears to be later this evening. I’m actually expecting clouds to clear for some

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Storms Expected Tomorrow (July 27)

Storms Expected Tomorrow (July 27)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:02, 26.Jul 2014

Some unexpected nuisance clouds and rain showers are moving across the region this morning. They should clear to the east and still allow a nice day from noon-forward. There’s nothing even remotely severe about them so again, just a nuisance.

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Split Weekend Weather Ahead (July 25-27)

Split Weekend Weather Ahead (July 25-27)

Jonathan Carr 🕔08:02, 25.Jul 2014

How beautiful does it feel this morning? Another cool air-mass has moved into the region but will quickly moderate for the weekend under July sun. Today and most of tomorrow look very nice but Saturday evening into Sunday could feature

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July 24: Cool Air Returns

July 24: Cool Air Returns

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:55, 24.Jul 2014

The above map shows current frontal boundary positions, courtesy of SimuAwips. As you can see, the cold front has pushed off the coast of New Jersey despite remaining stationary over Virginia. This will keep showers concentrated to our south and

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