July 31: Isaias Impact on East Coast

July 31: Isaias Impact on East Coast

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:10, 31.Jul 2020

Discussion: Earlier this week we started talking about a potential tropical threat for the east coast around August 5 from what was Invest 92L. Today this system is a category 1 hurricane named Isaias heading into the Bahamas. From its

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Mixed Conditions Likely (July 31-Aug 2)

Mixed Conditions Likely (July 31-Aug 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:53, 31.Jul 2020

Discussion: This weekend we will have a small developing ridge over the E US which won’t fully establish until Sunday. Today our rain is pushing away to the SE of NJ and conditions should improve during PM hours tonight (Friday).

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A Hair of Relief (July 27-31)

A Hair of Relief (July 27-31)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:06, 26.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ through Tuesday before dipping over NJ for Wednesday-Sunday. After Sunday it should return to the N of NJ for continued hazy, hot and humid ridging. So Monday and Tuesday should

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Dry but Humid (July 24-26)

Dry but Humid (July 24-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:11, 24.Jul 2020

Discussion: Today will offer a small break in temperature but not so much humidity. This is associated with the tip of a narrow progressive trough swinging through the NE US. After that it’s back to upper-level ridging under (to the

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Hang in there! (July 20-24)

Hang in there! (July 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:59, 20.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ this week as slightly above-average positive 500mb height anomalies persist over the Mid-Atlantic US. This should keep the surface hot with fluctuations of humidity intensity. The two strongest fluctuations

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We Bake (July 17-19)

We Bake (July 17-19)

Jonathan Carr 🕔11:51, 17.Jul 2020

Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ until the bottom of a trough swings through next weekend. That leaves our region in a sea of ridging until then with the strongest flex point this coming Sunday-Monday.

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Some Relief. Then Back to HHH (July 13-17)

Some Relief. Then Back to HHH (July 13-17)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:34, 13.Jul 2020

Discussion: A quick-moving narrow trough will move through between now (Monday) and Wednesday of this week. This should provide a small window of relief from heat and humidity in the Tuesday-Wednesday period as upper-level flow becomes NW and steers some

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Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Long-Range WeatherTrends360 Outlook

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:07, 10.Jul 2020

It’s time to harness WeatherTrends360 technology and look at how the rest of July 2020 should play out. WeatherTrends360 algorithms are documented with an 84% verification rate and are based on oceanic water cycles, time table series and very complex

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Conditions to Improve (July 10-12)

Conditions to Improve (July 10-12)

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:35, 10.Jul 2020

Discussion: A quick update on the “Tropical Storm” currently impacting NJ. Most conditions are going as expected regarding rain, wind and coastal flooding. I’m not sure we’ll reach tropical storm intensity but whatever. Either way this is much needed rainfall

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July 9: Coastal Storm Approaching

July 9: Coastal Storm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔10:57, 9.Jul 2020

Discussion: Our coastal system is organizing just SE of Bald Head Island, NC (S OBX). The latest trends in model guidance indicate the system riding slightly further W up the back of the ridge which will be located over NE

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