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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Sept 2: Irma Concerns Growing

Sept 2: Irma Concerns Growing

🕔11:07, 2.Sep 2017

Discussion: Irma’s impact beyond the NE Caribbean is still very uncertain. If you’re here for an exact US landfall prediction then I’m sorry to disappoint. A more practical discussion would be to analyze the modeled steering forces responsible for the recent high-impact US

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Mixed Weather Expected (Sept 1-4)

Mixed Weather Expected (Sept 1-4)

🕔10:44, 1.Sep 2017

Today and Monday seem like the better days of the holiday weekend. Let’s break it down… Discussion: High pressure has hold today but will depart into the Atlantic Ocean just ahead of Harvey’s remnants. Such remnants will float through from

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Aug 30: Irmagerd, Another One?

Aug 30: Irmagerd, Another One?

🕔16:10, 30.Aug 2017

A hurricane is developing in the Atlantic Ocean. Let’s break it down… Discussion: Another tropical wave of low pressure has departed the Cape Verde Island region off W Africa. This system is rapidly organizing and already named by the NWS

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Aug 28: Coastal Storm Approaching

Aug 28: Coastal Storm Approaching

🕔20:31, 28.Aug 2017

A coastal storm is approaching from the south. Let’s break it down… Discussion: An upper-level shortwave is maturing into a closed off upper-level low while swinging through the Great Lakes. It will interact with Harvey’s upper-level energy which will hold it

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Watching Coastal Storm (Aug 28-Sept 1)

Watching Coastal Storm (Aug 28-Sept 1)

🕔20:25, 27.Aug 2017

The start and end of the week look okay. Let’s break it down… Discussion: An upper level trough will swing through the Great Lakes and interact with both Harvey’s remnants and the coastal energy currently moving up the coast. The

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Aug 26: East Coast Storm to Form

Aug 26: East Coast Storm to Form

🕔13:32, 26.Aug 2017

A hybrid-type storm will form and move up the coast this week. Let’s break it down… Discussion: At the upper levels, a trough will be swinging through the Great Lakes region this week as a surface feature organizes near/over Florida

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Gorgeous Weather Expected (Aug 25-27)

Gorgeous Weather Expected (Aug 25-27)

🕔21:00, 24.Aug 2017

This weekend should feature sunny, dry and comfortable weather. Let’s break it down… Weekend Discussion: I know the word gorgeous is relative. Some find winter snow and/or brutal humidity gorgeous but most find S California conditions to be perfect for

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Transitional Weather Expected (Aug 21-15)

Transitional Weather Expected (Aug 21-15)

🕔19:29, 20.Aug 2017

This week should transition from summery to an early taste of fall… Discussion: High pressure will slide into the ocean and provide a warm and humid flow through Wednesday morning. This should keep the region unsettled with rainfall and thunderstorms

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Looking Good After Unsettled Friday (Aug 18-20)

Looking Good After Unsettled Friday (Aug 18-20)

🕔19:16, 17.Aug 2017

Saturday and Sunday look much better than Friday. Also watching the tropics… Discussion: A low pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes into SE Canada will drag a cold front through the region between Friday and early Saturday morning. As

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Aug 14: Tropics Update

Aug 14: Tropics Update

🕔20:14, 14.Aug 2017

Gert will stay out to sea as another wave departs the Cape Verde region… On the above image you can see Gert as well as the frontal boundary that will prevent Gert from reaching the east coast. Gert is currently intensifying

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