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Posts From Jonathan Carr

Sept 23: Maria to Miss New Jersey

Sept 23: Maria to Miss New Jersey

🕔16:06, 23.Sep 2017

Discussion: The 12Z model suite today unanimously initialized with good agreement on live-observations, especially with respect to the 250-500mb flow around the approaching trough. Therefore, I’m confident in serious upper-level E/NE (out to sea) steering currents north of the 35N

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Sept 22: East Coast Concerns Remain

Sept 22: East Coast Concerns Remain

🕔14:42, 22.Sep 2017

Discussion: There is no doubt a westward trend of Maria’s expected track on most model guidance today, especially when comparing to last night and yesterday’s model suites. Let’s talk present before talking future. Here are the current vitals from the

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Hot Weather Expected (Sept 22-24)

Hot Weather Expected (Sept 22-24)

🕔20:17, 21.Sep 2017

A warm, sunny and humid weekend is expected while we watch Hurricane Maria. Let’s break it down… Friday (Sept 22) high temperatures should reach 80 for most with interior CNJ/SNJ possibly taking a run at mid-to-upper 80s. I wouldn’t be

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Sept 20: US Landfall Not Off Table

Sept 20: US Landfall Not Off Table

🕔17:03, 20.Sep 2017

Discussion: Up until yesterday, most long-range model guidance was grim with respect to Maria and the US East Coast. Most had a direct landfall for the SE US. Yesterday there were signs of improvement as about half of the models

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Sept 18: Watching Hurricane Maria Closely

Sept 18: Watching Hurricane Maria Closely

🕔20:42, 18.Sep 2017

Discussion: Let’s address the immediate issues with Jose real quick. Jose is currently crossing the 35N latitude (same latitude as OBX). From this point and northward, Jose is will pass over colder water which will finish the extra-tropical transition process

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Wet and Windy Start (Sept 18-22)

Wet and Windy Start (Sept 18-22)

🕔16:27, 17.Sep 2017

Discussion: You’re probably going to hear about tropical storm watches/warnings issued for the Jersey coast soon. Here are my latest thoughts. Jose will have tremendous influence on our weather for the start of this week. Even though Jose’s center of circulation

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Warm and Sunny before Jose Influence (Sept 16-17)

Warm and Sunny before Jose Influence (Sept 16-17)

🕔14:25, 15.Sep 2017

Weekend Discussion: Between high pressure moving across Maine/Nova Scotia and Jose moving up the coast, a tight wind gradient should develop by the end of the weekend. For Saturday and Sunday we’re likely just looking at light winds out of

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Sept 14: Monitoring Jose

Sept 14: Monitoring Jose

🕔12:12, 14.Sep 2017

Discussion: Jose is currently a strong tropical storm positioned between Puerto Rico and Bermuda. The system is emerging from the loop it just took and is now moving W/NW towards the SE US. Jose is expected to re-gain hurricane status

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Stellar Weather Expected for The Makers Festival

Stellar Weather Expected for The Makers Festival

🕔14:28, 13.Sep 2017

Weather NJ is proud to provide a special event forecast for the third annual Makers Festival this weekend. The event is this Saturday, September 16th from 10AM to 6PM at Manahawkin Lake Park in Manahawkin, NJ. “The mission of our festival

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Through the Rest of September

Through the Rest of September

🕔16:15, 11.Sep 2017

It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how the rest of September 2017 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into proper climatological regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain (SWNJ through CNJ and into

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