Discussion: Most areas are currently (Thursday afternoon) running 55-65 degrees and it feels quite nice in the sun IMO. The general concept of a prolonged cold/cool spring continues minus a few transient warmer episodes here and there. It looks like
Discussion: I wanted to discuss tonight’s coastal storm in more detail as it deserves its own article. In the upper levels we have an approaching negative-tilted trough. This 1) provides the cold air and 2) provides upper dynamics to intensify
Discussion: A trough will swing through between Monday and Tuesday. It will drive a surface low to track along the SENJ coast, bringing synoptic rain and wind to NJ Monday PM into Tuesday AM. The trough then swings out and
Discussion: There’s not much to speak about in the upper levels other than a semi-zonal pattern of baby troughs and ridges kissing the Mid-Atlantic. The deepest trough is Sunday-Wednesday which should produce cooler conditions at the surface (highs in the
Discussion: The upper-level trough/low have departed and we’ll now be ridged-in until early Friday morning. This means a more expansive lower troposphere and generally milder conditions. Today felt great after recent times but the really good stuff starts tomorrow. While
Discussion: An upper-level trough/low will dominate the weather pattern this weekend. The bright higher-angle April sun will reach the ground but under a condensed (heights-wise) environment with low pressure aloft. This arrangement/mechanism can provide adequate lift and saturation at lower
Discussion: The system that brought rain and wind last night through this morning is well offshore. We now turn W to an approaching cold front that’s still attached to an occluding low over the great lakes. This front should slowly
Discussion: Today should remain mostly cloudy with periods of light rain possible. Today rain chances increase some between afternoon and evening and then significantly between evening and overnight/tomorrow morning. A synoptic surface low, associated with a leading upper-level disturbance, should
Discussion: The pattern from now through about April 12 looks very similar due to a stubborn jet pattern with an active stream of disturbances. This should force a trough pattern for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US keeping temperatures slightly below-average
Discussion: The warm front is well through and you should now be feeling the ripping warm sector out of the S/SW. As a quick refresher, the Norwegian Cyclone Model is the standard meteorological model for synoptic-scale mid-latitude cyclones, like the
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