Super Bowl Weekend Outlook (Jan 31-Feb 2)

Super Bowl Weekend Outlook (Jan 31-Feb 2)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:36, 30.Jan 2020

Discussion: It’s time to kill the weekend possibility of a larger snow storm. It was dead after last night’s model guidance, but I wanted to compare today’s 12z model suite to live observations to be sure. It was a strong

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Jan 29: Still Watching the Weekend

Jan 29: Still Watching the Weekend

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:32, 29.Jan 2020

Discussion: I really wanted to have some sort of closure on whether or not the weekend system is a go or not. I thought for sure the flight recon and proper land sampling would push the needle one way or

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Jan 27: Still Watching the Weekend Storm

Jan 27: Still Watching the Weekend Storm

Jonathan Carr 🕔19:42, 27.Jan 2020

Discussion: We’re likely beyond the point of if there’s going to be a synoptic storm off the east coast this weekend. The signal has been well-advertised on long-range model guidance with consistency. A Miller-A low should form in the Gulf

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Watching the Weekend (Jan 27-31)

Watching the Weekend (Jan 27-31)

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:17, 26.Jan 2020

Discussion: Most are focused on this weekend’s winter storm potential. Let’s get the week ahead out of the way first. Upper-level height anomalies should remain negative through most of this week. This indicates colder air aloft with general flow out

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Jan 24: Rainstorm Approaching

Jan 24: Rainstorm Approaching

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:42, 24.Jan 2020

Discussion: Our Upper-Level Low (ULL) is currently centered over S Missouri and should track just to our NW (over the SE Great Lakes) between now and Sunday night. The primary surface low will remain stacked under the ULL over the

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Unsettled Conditions (Jan 24-26)

Unsettled Conditions (Jan 24-26)

Jonathan Carr 🕔13:54, 23.Jan 2020

Discussion: Conditions should remain tranquil and milder for Friday. An Upper-Level Low (ULL) will then barrel across the NE US this weekend tracking near the Appalachian Mountain range. A surface low will correlate and wobble through somewhere near/over NJ on

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Jan 21: Weekend System looks Warm for Most

Jan 21: Weekend System looks Warm for Most

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:21, 21.Jan 2020

Discussion: The strong area of high pressure responsible for the cold this week will ultimately be responsible for the moderation in temperature between Thursday and Saturday night. The front side of the high’s anti-cyclonic flow brought cold from the N

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Colder Conditions (Jan 20-24)

Colder Conditions (Jan 20-24)

Jonathan Carr 🕔17:59, 19.Jan 2020

Discussion: My family is feeling much better as we’re almost fully-recovered from the flu. Thanks again for the well-wishes from everyone. You are all amazing! Tonight temperatures will drop well-below freezing statewide. Breezy-to-gusty NW winds should gradually subside by daybreak

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Jan 17: Winter Storm Update

Jan 17: Winter Storm Update

Jonathan Carr 🕔16:28, 17.Jan 2020

Discussion: I’m feeling a little better today but my wife and daughter are in the worst stage of the flu. I’m about 2 days ahead of them regarding symptoms and timing. Thank you so much for your thoughtful expressions and

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Jan 16: Initial Map for Saturday

Jan 16: Initial Map for Saturday

Jonathan Carr 🕔15:59, 16.Jan 2020

Discussion: Today I tested positive for the flu (infuenza A strain) and so did my 5-month old daughter. It’s been a very bad week and I apologize for seeming to be MIA. I’ve been trying to rest and hydrate as

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