Discussion: This week is all about the damaging wind potential on Monday. After that it’s boring. Slightly cooler than we’d all like for this time of year but uneventful as the below daily forecast indicates. So let’s talk about Monday.
Discussion: Upper-level geopotential height anomalies look low for as long as I can comfortably see (out to about April 19 or so). Just one transient period of positive anomalies this Sunday-Monday. We have a well-organized system tracking through New England
Discussion: The upper-jet looks to stay near/overhead of NJ this week in a zonal configuration. The jet will slowly build intensity and likely flex into a decent streak by Thursday-Friday. 500mb geopotential height anomalies should be near-average for the start
Discussion: The upper jet is split with the primary streak to our S and a weaker dissolving streak to our N. The N part is powered by the backside (W side) of the departing upper-level low and front side (E
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Discussion: The upper-jet should remain mostly zonal through Wednesday before dipping S of NJ Thursday into Friday. After that, high pressure backs in from the NE and decently splits the jet to our N and S. Nothing exciting to speak
Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ this weekend before sinking over/just S of NJ by mid next week. 500mb height anomalies should be positive for this weekend correlating with the jet-formed ridge before lowering for next
Discussion: For the most part we’ll see a zonal jet pattern overhead this week before pushing a little to our N by the weekend. 500mb geopotential heights should remain elevated aside from two shortwaves Monday and Wednesday with very little
Discussion: The upper-level jet should push to the N of NJ on Friday as 500mb ridging flexes. The jet should then sink to the S of NJ for the rest of the weekend as geopotential heights relax but still remain
Discussion: A strong zonal upper-level jet will dominate the 250mb space over NJ this weekend. 500mb geopotential height anomalies will remain positive with a weak upper-level trough moving through SE Canada. There will be a strong surface low under that
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