Unsettled into the Weekend
Discussion: It looks like the upper-jet should push N of NJ from now through Saturday and establish a weak but unsettled E US ridge. High pressure, to the N of Bermuda, will track eastward today and tomorrow as a low
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Mixed Conditions Expected
Discussion: The upper jet (250mb) should rage a bit, from SW to NE, over the Mid-Atlantic US this weekend. 500mb analysis indicates a deep upper-low tracking from the Great Lakes into SE Canada but in a very progressive trough with
The “What Winter?” Sunsets
Discussion: Of every 10 years, about 1-2 winters feature way-below average snowfall and in some cases a big goose egg. This winter was one of those. It was nice however to see parts of NNJ squeeze out some snow accumulation
Final Call Heading into Tonight
Discussion: After reviewing overnight mesoscale model guidance and comparing to live observations on SPC mesoscale analysis, we have the best idea we’re going to have heading into this system. This article and included snow impact map represents the final forecast
Snow Map for Monday-Tuesday
Discussion: A powerful nor’easter continues to brew which will bring major impacts to New England, NE PA, E NY, and NNJ between Monday and Tuesday. I won’t talk much more about what this is going to do to E NY
Major Snowfall Eyeing North Jersey
Discussion: A full-blown nor’easter could heavily impact most of New England, E NY State, NE PA, and NNJ pretty hard this Monday-Tuesday. We’re talking major interior snow accumulation, blizzard wind and visibility conditions, and coastal battering and flooding. Tomorrow (Sunday)
Snow Lover Nightmares Continue
Discussion: White rain is becoming the theme of tonight/tomorrow’s snow/rain event. The lower-level environment, especially the critical baroclinic boundary layer, is simply too marginal in the lower levels. March climatology, ground heat retention, and higher sun angle are likely going
Weekend Snow Map
Discussion: Our first system (Friday-Saturday) is now within line of sight to begin forecasting. Still some time to monitor the Monday-Tuesday system. With that said, let’s set some expectations. You are about to see two maps. The first map represents
Winter Storm Detected for Friday-Saturday
Discussion: A winter storm is targeting NNJ with plowable snowfall this Friday PM-Saturday AM. A primary low will track along the N stream into NWPA by Friday night. Energy will then transfer to a secondary low spawning just off Delmarva/OBX
Weekend Snow Detected
Discussion: Yesterday I was told by many that it couldn’t possibly snow in NNJ/CNJ last night because it was [insert temperature] degrees outside. Hopefully there is a better understanding now that “it is going to snow where it wants to
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