Discussion: The upper flow should remain zonal for the weekend but then kink into a NW flow pattern for next week. At the surface this means humid and rain conditions for NJ between Saturday afternoon/evening and Sunday around noon. Improvement
Discussion: What a Labor Day Weekend of pleasant weather conditions! So, we’re well into September now and we’ve lost 139 minutes of daylight since the summer solstice. 14 calendar days remain in Summer 2026 with meteorological fall underway since Sept
Discussion: The stormy humid “ring of fire” pattern is coming to an end after one more night of storms (tonight – Friday night). I will be tracking with radar observation posts. The cold front should push through from N to
Discussion: This week into Labor Day Weekend looks interesting to me. It could be our most storm-potent Ring of Fire pattern this entire year. And for that reason, we are in daily article mode rather than the traditional weekly outlook.
Discussion: The models handled the last two days rather well. Specifically in the idea of all of NJ except for SENJ seeing the stronger storms Thursday and then only SENJ seeing some storms today. The storms have cleared the coast
Discussion: Two short waves in SE Canada will phase into a more potent upper low between today (Wednesday) and Saturday. This will put NJ in the very unsettled SE side of everything especially on Thursday and Friday. As of right
Discussion: It’s hard to argue against a great feel outside today (Monday) and that should last through tomorrow (Tuesday). A low has tracked through SE Canada and dragged a cold front through NJ, ushering in a cooler/drier air mass. It’s
Discussion: By the end of this weekend/start of next week, the upper jet is going to kink into more of a meridional look, with ridging in the W US and a trough dipping over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US. This
Discussion: Between now and around 8pm this evening, a disturbance will push through NJ from W to E in the form of a weak low and stormfront. Some initial action is pushing into SWNJ now (3pm) ahead of the main
Discussion: For this week, we’re going to be under steady SW or W/SW flow aloft due to the jet stream orientation coming from a hot ridge upstream. Climatologically, we are losing the ability to push temperatures into the excessive/dangerous criteria.
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