Discussion: This weekend we will have a small developing ridge over the E US which won’t fully establish until Sunday. Today our rain is pushing away to the SE of NJ and conditions should improve during PM hours tonight (Friday).
Discussion: The upper-jet should stay to the N of NJ through Tuesday before dipping over NJ for Wednesday-Sunday. After Sunday it should return to the N of NJ for continued hazy, hot and humid ridging. So Monday and Tuesday should
Discussion: Today will offer a small break in temperature but not so much humidity. This is associated with the tip of a narrow progressive trough swinging through the NE US. After that it’s back to upper-level ridging under (to the
Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ this week as slightly above-average positive 500mb height anomalies persist over the Mid-Atlantic US. This should keep the surface hot with fluctuations of humidity intensity. The two strongest fluctuations
Discussion: The upper jet should remain to the N of NJ until the bottom of a trough swings through next weekend. That leaves our region in a sea of ridging until then with the strongest flex point this coming Sunday-Monday.
Discussion: A quick-moving narrow trough will move through between now (Monday) and Wednesday of this week. This should provide a small window of relief from heat and humidity in the Tuesday-Wednesday period as upper-level flow becomes NW and steers some
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Discussion: A quick update on the “Tropical Storm” currently impacting NJ. Most conditions are going as expected regarding rain, wind and coastal flooding. I’m not sure we’ll reach tropical storm intensity but whatever. Either way this is much needed rainfall
Discussion: Our coastal system is organizing just SE of Bald Head Island, NC (S OBX). The latest trends in model guidance indicate the system riding slightly further W up the back of the ridge which will be located over NE
Discussion: A low pressure disturbance is currently forming on the coastal border of North and South Carolina. We’re not talking about a powerful system but organized enough to bring nuisance-to-mildly-disruptive conditions to the E US coast (OBX to NYC) between
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