Discussion: We’re currently under a trough which means lower geopotential heights. With the higher sun angle destabilizing the surface under the colder lower-mid and mid-level conditions aloft, we’re seeing some hail with these passing isolated showers moving through, especially those
Discussion: We’re going to see the bottom of a trough swing through NJ from Sunday PM through Wednesday morning. Typically, the current warmth surge would build hotter and more humid each day until the Sunday frontal system. However, we did
Discussion: This week’s weather will be driven by an E US ridge supported by high pressure just N of Bermuda. So, lots of SW or S/SW flow into NJ driving a warmer pattern. This looks to flex Tues-Thurs with Wed
Discussion: The upper-levels indicate a gradually developing ridge for the E US from now until about April 20ish. This signals prolonged mild temperatures (likely above average) for at least that stretch. There will likely be some kind of synoptic rainmaker
Discussion: The upper jet should stay in a zonal pattern with split flow at times this week. The back side of a departing trough will keep NJ chillier today (Monday) through Thursday morning. Then Thursday into the weekend rebounds with
Discussion: After today’s (Thursday) chillier day, milder SW flow will re-establish by early Friday morning to produce a milder weekend. Spring showers possible at any time (isolated and passing kind) but most of the weekend looks okay. A frontal system,
Discussion: We’re sort of stuck in a SW flow pattern due to high pressure established offshore in the Atlantic Ocean. That should keep the entire week mild with the exception of Thursday. That’s when high pressure tracking W to E
Discussion: High pressure has tracked from SW Canada to about Illinois currently (Friday night 10pm). The high will continue tracking towards the SE US until about Sunday morning—continuing to drive colder air into NNJ from the N. On Sunday the
Discussion: We’re in a mostly zonal wind pattern this week when observed at 250mb. A slight dip in the jet to start this week (lowering heights) and a slight rise in the jet for Thurs-Fri (raising heights) and that concurs
Discussion: This weekend will be milder, in general, than what we’ve gotten used to this week. A weak disturbance will push through this late-afternoon/evening (Friday) from NW to SE and clear out completely by 3am Saturday morning. Behind that weak
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