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Much Needed Rainfall on the Way

Much Needed Rainfall on the Way

🕔14:26, 27.Jul 2026

Discussion: Some much needed New Jersey rainfall is looking promising for the next few days, especially Tuesday PM into Wednesday AM. For the last few months, most rainfall has occurred from frontal systems and training thunderstorms. This opportunity is more

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Mid-Summer Dream

Mid-Summer Dream

🕔16:43, 23.Jul 2026

Discussion: I apologize in advance how this post might contribute towards summer shore traffic, but it looks like one of the best mid-summer weekends I’ve ever seen. The cold front came through yesterday (Wednesday) and cleared a lot of humidity

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Thunderstorm Update

Thunderstorm Update

🕔12:01, 21.Jul 2026

Discussion: The image above illustrates my best approximation of the warm front (red), cold front (blue) and today’s main cluster of thunderstorms (black). The warm front is almost through NJ (moving SW to NE). It just sparked a cell for

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Here We Go Again

Here We Go Again

🕔18:31, 20.Jul 2026

Discussion: Before we continue, I want to say that life-threatening/damaging winds from severe weather (straight-line or tornado) are a bad thing. I take my discussions very seriously when including such in my forecast, even if just a small, isolated threat

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Saturday Could Sting in New Jersey

Saturday Could Sting in New Jersey

🕔15:53, 17.Jul 2026

Discussion: I want to touch on yesterday (Thursday) before looking at tomorrow. As someone who spent almost 40 years of my life growing up in the Manahawkin area, I can only remember a few times where that much water fell

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Unsettled and Mixed

Unsettled and Mixed

🕔16:00, 16.Jul 2026

Discussion: Many NJ locations broke 90, if not are in the mid-to-upper 80s. Skies are hazy from the upstream wildfires and that should peak in-intensity tonight (Thursday) into tomorrow (Friday). The same type of linear segment  of downpours/thunderstorms that happened

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More Heat Humidity and Storms

More Heat Humidity and Storms

🕔16:07, 13.Jul 2026

Discussion: A ridge will set up over the N Plains/N/S Dakota area this week. This will position upper flow over the Great Lakes and towards NJ and much of the N Mid-Atlantic US/New England. This pattern should stay locked until

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Storms Around into Saturday. Sunday Gorgeous

Storms Around into Saturday. Sunday Gorgeous

🕔17:00, 10.Jul 2026

Discussion: The upper levels are indicating changes in the future pattern. While the overall pattern keeps the jet stream N of NJ (inducing ridges), I am seeing a few periods where the jet stream wants to dip to near or

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Another Damaging Storm Period Detected

Another Damaging Storm Period Detected

🕔14:37, 7.Jul 2026

Discussion: The weak low that was over the Mid-Atlantic US and contributed heavily to yesterday’s flash flooding/heavy consistent rainfall, is now offshore just S of Cape Cod. This is now producing northerly flow behind it (to the W of it

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Super Hot and Stormy

Super Hot and Stormy

🕔16:58, 2.Jul 2026

Discussion: Temperatures exceeded 100 today (Thursday) in many locations. I doubt many NJ spots will dip below the 75-80 range overnight tonight (Thursday night). Isolated thunderstorms can pop up at any time but so far quiet. The death ridge/ring of

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