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Bad Timing. Good for Drought Concerns.

Bad Timing. Good for Drought Concerns.

🕔23:04, 21.May 2026

Discussion: The forecast for this Memorial Day Weekend is not great. I held off as long as possible making this forecast, hoping for change. But there has been no change. We’re in for a cloudy, rainy, windy weekend from at

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Volatile Temperature Swings

Volatile Temperature Swings

🕔17:29, 18.May 2026

Discussion: The upper jet will remain well N of NJ through at least Wednesday morning. This will allow upper level heights to continue ridging for the E US, especially the Mid-Atlantic US/NJ. At the surface this means well above average

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Warmer Temps Approaching

Warmer Temps Approaching

🕔15:44, 15.May 2026

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates mostly a zonal flow across the US but favoring some ridge peaks here and there. These ridge peaks will allow 500mb heights to build over the E US and furthermore warmer air to be brought northwards

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Warmer Pattern Detected!

Warmer Pattern Detected!

🕔13:44, 12.May 2026

Discussion: Sorry I missed getting this outlook out yesterday. Got pulled in a few different directions. But here we are. These current conditions are something! Late October/early November feel with early August sun angle. We only have a few more

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Cooler Mixed Conditions Continue

Cooler Mixed Conditions Continue

🕔15:00, 8.May 2026

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates the W US split flow pattern into the E US will remain in-tact for now. This concentrated flow from the N Plains and TX into the Mid-Atlantic US will continue to shape a Great Lakes trough

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Warming Back Up. For Now.

Warming Back Up. For Now.

🕔15:20, 4.May 2026

Discussion: Right now, we have lower heights breaking down over coastal New England and the Mid-Atlantic US. A very positive-axis trough will situate to the NW of us and hold an upper-level SW flow over NJ through about Thursday. Today

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Cooler Ahead of Warm Week

Cooler Ahead of Warm Week

🕔18:23, 1.May 2026

Discussion: A series of flat troughs will dominate the NE US pattern with below-average temperatures through at least mid-May. However, there will be some warm, even hot, days checkered here and there in 2-3 day clusters…mainly from being in front

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Cool Pattern Establishing

Cool Pattern Establishing

🕔14:29, 27.Apr 2026

Discussion: All signs are continuing to point towards below-average temperatures and above-average rainfall for the close of April into the first third of May. Today (Monday) and tomorrow should be the mildest days for a while, possibly until May 10-15.

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We Could Use the Rain

We Could Use the Rain

🕔15:42, 24.Apr 2026

Discussion: Most people will be disappointed in the rainy weekend, however, our grounds will embrace the rain as happy as the woman in this image. A split flow pattern will form over the SE US this weekend putting NJ under

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Cold Start. Unsettled Finish

Cold Start. Unsettled Finish

🕔16:21, 20.Apr 2026

Discussion: We’re currently under a trough which means lower geopotential heights. With the higher sun angle destabilizing the surface under the colder lower-mid and mid-level conditions aloft, we’re seeing some hail with these passing isolated showers moving through, especially those

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