Discussion: The upper levels are indicating changes in the future pattern. While the overall pattern keeps the jet stream N of NJ (inducing ridges), I am seeing a few periods where the jet stream wants to dip to near or
Discussion: The weak low that was over the Mid-Atlantic US and contributed heavily to yesterday’s flash flooding/heavy consistent rainfall, is now offshore just S of Cape Cod. This is now producing northerly flow behind it (to the W of it
Discussion: Temperatures exceeded 100 today (Thursday) in many locations. I doubt many NJ spots will dip below the 75-80 range overnight tonight (Thursday night). Isolated thunderstorms can pop up at any time but so far quiet. The death ridge/ring of
Discussion: When the sun sets like that, you know it will be hot the next day. And that’s what I expect some of the sunsets to look like this week. Between now and this weekend, the upper jet is going
Discussion: The upper-level zonal flow pattern this weekend is going to evolve into what we call a summer death ridge for next week. This means the upper jet will buckle northwards well to the N of NJ and leave NJ
Discussion: We’ll start this week off in article mode since there is potentially damaging weather on the way. First, we have a series of weak low pressure tracking to our immediate NW (likely across NWPA from the Ohio River Valley
Discussion: The upper levels continue to indicate a zonal flow across the US this weekend into next week. This translates to more of a W/NW to W/SW wind direction at the surface which you’ll see in the days broken down
Discussion: The upper levels suggest a zonal flow this week with height anomalies leaning slightly negative for NJ. At the surface this should produce another beautiful day (like Monday – today) for Tuesday but then unsettled humidity Wed-Fri. Wednesday seems
Discussion: The current tropical air mass (beneath the E US ridge) will give us one more hot and humid day today (Friday). We’ll mostly be in a warm sector flow ahead of a cold front which will make the heat
Discussion: This article will begin with a rant. The last thunderstorm outbreak (Saturday-Sunday) really bothered me, specifically the disconnect between the professional forecasting base and public consumers of weather forecasting. I absolutely hate that Severe Thunderstorms (for wind) are determined
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