Discussion: A rather simple forecast for the next week or so. Ridging over Great Lakes steering W/NW upper flow into NJ. High pressure in control for the surface and lower levels. This should create immaculate fall conditions with clear skies
Discussion: This week should feature some of the most beautiful October NJ conditions we’ve seen in a while. We’re talking chilly-but-comfortable highs in the 60s, lots of sunshine, and colder overnights where at least the usual colder spots (NNJ elevations
Discussion: A warm sector will bring more anomalous warmth to NJ on Friday with stiff SW winds. This should set up a storm front in the evening but a very short one. The precipitation strip looks very thin on model
Discussion: This crap (80 degrees with humidity) was supposed to be over for the year. But Isaias decided to form and hurl a bunch of warmth and humidity at NJ as a ridge develops. This is going to result in
Discussion: Isaias made landfall in far W FL Panhandle this evening as a category 2 hurricane. The trend is a quick fall apart. It’s already down to a cat 1 with more weakening expected into Saturday morning. Isaias will now
Discussion: A rather zonal look to the upper levels this week with a general W/NW flow of colder air aloft from Canada. Most surface conditions will revolve around high pressure moving across the E US/Mid-Atlantic US from W to E.
Discussion: The upper jet, observed at 250mb, looks zonal to the N of NJ this weekend. It will try to kink up a little as a trough misses to the N of NJ Monday. That will however introduce a cooler
Discussion: The nor’easter is out of here and good riddance! Although I must admit, it felt kind of good to track a low-pressure system close to the 40N/70W benchmark. I don’t think we’re going to see the last of systems
Discussion: I want to reemphasize a few points. Awesome followers can skip this paragraph. Throughout this entire week, I maintained that areas away from the ocean would see a run-of-mill manageable rain and wind event experienced many times before. I
Discussion Models have trended even more towards a harder New Jersey hit from this weekend’s nor’easter. Here are the updated rain, wind and coastal flooding impacts with graphics and text: Hazardous Impacts Rain The storm’s outer precipitation bands are nearing
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