Discussion: This article will begin with a rant. The last thunderstorm outbreak (Saturday-Sunday) really bothered me, specifically the disconnect between the professional forecasting base and public consumers of weather forecasting. I absolutely hate that Severe Thunderstorms (for wind) are determined
Discussion: The jet stream will remain N of NJ (ridging) for the foreseeable future, except for this Saturday into Sunday when a positive and progressive trough will quickly move through. This is not enough for a washout but more of
Discussion: Upper-level analysis confirms that we are now under the influence of the Omega block, particularly the N flow moving down and around the W side of the leading trough. This is going to produce northerly winds in general between
Discussion: The Omega block, mentioned earlier this week in the weekly outlook, is taking shape and will deliver a cooler/drier NW flow to NJ this weekend (rounding the E trough of the Omega block setup). For that reason, Saturday might
Discussion: It’s been some roller coaster of temperatures the last month or so. I’ve seen record low high temps (ex: afternoon high only reaches 58) and record high temps (afternoon high reaches 98) occur in the last few weeks and
Discussion: The forecast for this Memorial Day Weekend is not great. I held off as long as possible making this forecast, hoping for change. But there has been no change. We’re in for a cloudy, rainy, windy weekend from at
Discussion: The upper jet will remain well N of NJ through at least Wednesday morning. This will allow upper level heights to continue ridging for the E US, especially the Mid-Atlantic US/NJ. At the surface this means well above average
Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates mostly a zonal flow across the US but favoring some ridge peaks here and there. These ridge peaks will allow 500mb heights to build over the E US and furthermore warmer air to be brought northwards
Discussion: Sorry I missed getting this outlook out yesterday. Got pulled in a few different directions. But here we are. These current conditions are something! Late October/early November feel with early August sun angle. We only have a few more
Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates the W US split flow pattern into the E US will remain in-tact for now. This concentrated flow from the N Plains and TX into the Mid-Atlantic US will continue to shape a Great Lakes trough
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