The Next Winter Storm Signal
Discussion: We have a lot to talk about. First, a final update and quick recap of this weekend’s winter storm. A few final bands of snow are still moving out of SNJ but have 1-2 hours left of impact. I expect
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Posts From Jonathan Carr
Jan 11: Updated Weekend Snow Map
Discussion: Dynamics are leaning towards the heavier wildcard from yesterday’s discussion. It’s still not looking like a shut-down snow storm but it could mean a plowable event for a larger part of SNJ. We’re dealing with a fairly weak, but strong-enough,
Jan 10: Light Snow Event Expected
Discussion: Low pressure will track across the SE US and eject into the Atlantic Ocean over OBX. From there it is not expected to turn up the coast and produce a major snow storm. Instead it will likely remain on
Jan 9: Weekend Snow Detected
Discussion: Changes in the western Pacific ocean indicate a more active pattern from about January 20 and forward into February. It takes about two weeks for downstream-propagation for such changes to reach the E US. We’re not there yet, including this
Jan 7: Wintry Threat for NNJ Tonight
Discussion: It’s no secret that last night was cold and temperatures have struggled to climb today. For the areas of expected wintry impact overnight tonight temperatures have failed to climb above freezing today. For the lower 2/3 of NJ temperatures are
Winter Returns (Jan 7-11)
Discussion: Tonight’s temperatures should bottom out pretty low. Monday should warm as light precipitation moves in for Monday night into Tuesday morning. There’s some wintry precip concern for NNJ as precip arrives Monday night. Everyone else should see all rain.
Rainy Start. Cold Finish (Jan 4-6)
Discussion: A cut-off upper level low will track from Texas over Virginia into the Atlantic Ocean. A corresponding surface low will track just to the north of the ULL through Kentucky, Virginia and ultimately over New Jersey. The upper-level flow
January Discussion with WeatherTrends360
It’s time to harness the WeatherTrends360 proprietary weather algorithms to see how the rest of January 2019 should play out. But first lets break New Jersey into climatologically-similar regions. We have the higher elevations of NNJ/NWNJ, the interior coastal plain and Newark Basin (SWNJ
Snow Cravings Continue (Dec 31-Jan 4)
Discussion: There is no point in sugar coating it. 2019 will end mild and wet and the first week or two of January also looks relatively mild. For those who dislike snow this should come as good news. For the
Mild Wet Start Cold Dry Finish (Dec 28-30)
Discussion: Above-average upper-level geopotential height anomalies will continue to dominate the pattern today (Friday) and most of Saturday. Heights should relax into a transient zonal pattern for Sunday before rebuilding to start next week. This means mild and wet today
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