Discussion: The rainy pattern remains active. The upper-jet is still running right through NJ bringing numerous disturbances through. Wednesday looks like warm-frontal showers and Friday looks the wettest with a cold frontal passage. The weekend looks pretty good as of
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Discussion: The upper-jet looks pretty flat for the next week or so. I wouldn’t call it 100% zonal but low-amplitude for sure. When the jet rises a bit N of NJ we see milder temps and then when it’s slightly
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Discussion: I know this outlook is a bit late so we’ll focus on tonight-forward. An upper-level ridge should dominate the region this week with above-average geopotential heights. This should keep the upper-level jet to the N of New Jersey through
Discussion: Some rain showers are moving across NJ right now (Thursday) and will continue this evening along a warm front. At some point early Friday the warm front will advance to our N and we’ll likely see a period of
Discussion: We have upper-level energy consolidating as it fizzles out over the OBX/Delmarva area region Monday. That should be just enough energy to power a small and weak coastal disturbance offshore. It’s really not a big deal but it could
Discussion: We continue to evolve towards a two-prong hit of rain and thunderstorms. The first will be pre-frontal activity in the warm sector this evening and the second will be the main expected storm period early Saturday morning. The front
Discussion: We’re now in the warm sector supported by high pressure near Bermuda and a series of low pressure disturbances tracking just NW of the Appalachian Mountains into Canada. This is why non-coastal areas spiked so warm today and why
Discussion: I’m watching Friday night through Saturday morning for another period of potential severe weather (like this past early-Monday morning). The first player involved is a low pressure system currently cutting way to our NW over the N Great Lakes.
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