Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

Boss Cold Front Expected

Boss Cold Front Expected

🕔00:15, 29.Sep 2025

Discussion: Fall is going to finally settle in this week. We have two more days, Monday and Tuesday, where it will be slightly warmer and more humid than most would like to see this time of year. A boss cold

Read Full Article
Humberto/Imelda Update

Humberto/Imelda Update

🕔22:53, 27.Sep 2025

Discussion: I was happy to see the rain hold off today, allowing as much dry daytime hours as possible. As mentioned in the weekend outlook earlier, this is a weak disturbance moving through. The low is currently pushing from NC

Read Full Article
September Ends Warm and Humid

September Ends Warm and Humid

🕔16:35, 26.Sep 2025

Discussion: A cold front pushed through early this morning. Unfortunately, it only reduced temps and humidity a little rather than a lot. We should stay dry for the rest of Friday evening and overnight through much of Saturday. A weak

Read Full Article
The Tropics are Lighting Up

The Tropics are Lighting Up

🕔16:12, 25.Sep 2025

Discussion: The tropics of the Atlantic Basin are showing signs of life after a relatively quiet 2025 hurricane season so far (for NJ interests). There are currently three systems of interest in the Atlantic Ocean. First is Gabrielle which represents

Read Full Article
Rainy Humid Pattern Detected

Rainy Humid Pattern Detected

🕔17:14, 22.Sep 2025

Discussion: An unsettled period is expected between this Tuesday and Saturday. I know that’s a longer stretch than what we’ve been used to but honestly, we could use the rain. Models are suggesting about 1-2 inches total throughout that period

Read Full Article
Aces!

Aces!

🕔14:50, 19.Sep 2025

Discussion: A mostly zonal upper-jet, slightly bucked at times, will flow over the E US for the next 7-10 days. No big troughs or ridges which should keep our region temperate with respect to the time of year. On average,

Read Full Article
Another Coastal System

Another Coastal System

🕔15:51, 15.Sep 2025

Discussion: As anticipated last week, we now find ourselves under a strong SE Canadian ridge with a weak upper low meandering from the SEUS up the coast. The upper low will drive another mid-week coastal system (like last week) at

Read Full Article
Mostly Great Conditions Persist

Mostly Great Conditions Persist

🕔14:56, 12.Sep 2025

Discussion: The trough pattern, that the Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast US has been in, will take a break by the end of this weekend. This will still allow a nice Friday, Saturday and Sunday start. By Sunday afternoon, the trough will

Read Full Article
Nuisance Coastal Low Passes By

Nuisance Coastal Low Passes By

🕔12:55, 10.Sep 2025

Discussion: Today’s conditions I actually find relaxing and enjoyable, so long as we’re not in the middle of a rainy pattern. Onshore flow and rain this time of year have a unique feel that I’ve grown to like over my

Read Full Article
A Mostly Great Week

A Mostly Great Week

🕔14:14, 8.Sep 2025

Discussion: Though the upper pattern appears more meridional than zonal at times, there are no anomalous geopotential heights in either direction the next 7 days or so. At this surface, these next 7 days looked like aces all the way

Read Full Article