Back to homepage

Posts From Jonathan Carr

January Thaw Detected after this Weekend

January Thaw Detected after this Weekend

🕔14:16, 2.Jan 2026

Discussion: This article/report will be looked down upon by the winter/snow lover. But it cannot stay cold and snowy the entire winter. Let’s recap for a moment. Since Thanksgiving Weekend 2025 (Black Friday to be exact), New Jersey has seen

Read Full Article
Snow Showers to Ring in the New Year

Snow Showers to Ring in the New Year

🕔12:24, 31.Dec 2025

Discussion: It’s hard to even call this wave a clipper with how weak it is. But a dissolving clipper will push through the Mid-Atlantic US tonight. As far as the snow showers that a clipper typically brings, it really only

Read Full Article
New Year’s Eve-Day Outlook

New Year’s Eve-Day Outlook

🕔16:26, 30.Dec 2025

Discussion: 2025 is almost over. A few more days of colder conditions and then we step into what looks like an active pattern in January with below average temperatures and above average snowfall. Most of New Jersey should dip into

Read Full Article
Closing out 2025

Closing out 2025

🕔20:29, 27.Dec 2025

Discussion: This outlook will be in article format covering a few things including a storm recap of what and why it happened, the rest of this weekend’s outlook and lastly a look ahead at the next signals. Storm Recap Our

Read Full Article
Winter Storm Approaching

Winter Storm Approaching Updated

🕔11:55, 26.Dec 2025

Discussion: I wish this was an all-snow event, or even a typical snow/rain event with a well-understood baroclinic boundary. It would be much easier to create the final wintry impact map. But it’s not. This is a very difficult battleground

Read Full Article
Friday-Saturday Winter Storm Update

Friday-Saturday Winter Storm Update Updated

🕔15:55, 25.Dec 2025

Discussion: Last night and early this morning, the data jumped warmer but has since returned to what we feel is reality today. We do not think the NAM is correct in its handling of geopotential height fields across the Mid-Atlantic

Read Full Article
Friday-Saturday Winter Storm a GO!

Friday-Saturday Winter Storm a GO! Updated

🕔13:55, 24.Dec 2025

Discussion: The jet pattern, governing the thermal gradient boundary (boundary) remains locked in a configuration across S Canada/N US from W to E, then down over the Great lakes and through the Mid-Atlantic. For this upcoming system, it will be

Read Full Article
Winter Storm Detected!

Winter Storm Detected!

🕔15:46, 23.Dec 2025

Discussion: The jet stream pattern, dictating the thermal gradient boundary (boundary) remains in a configuration of blowing across S Canada W to E, dipping down over the E Great Lakes and running through the Mid-Atlantic US. This will keep those

Read Full Article
It Could be a Wintry Week!

It Could be a Wintry Week!

🕔17:08, 22.Dec 2025

Discussion: We’re going to return to daily article mode this week as there is a lot unfolding. And yes, I’m leaving the cover image up. First, our snow map issued yesterday for tomorrow (the light NNJ event) will stand as

Read Full Article
Snow Map for Tuesday Morning

Snow Map for Tuesday Morning

🕔17:15, 21.Dec 2025

Discussion: High pressure is moving through the Mid-Atlantic US. It will push cold air downward ahead of it (tonight and tomorrow), setting up a colder environment. The high will then depart the E US into the Atlantic Ocean and draw

Read Full Article