Discussion: I wish this was an all-snow event, or even a typical snow/rain event with a well-understood baroclinic boundary. It would be much easier to create the final wintry impact map. But it’s not. This is a very difficult battleground
Discussion: Last night and early this morning, the data jumped warmer but has since returned to what we feel is reality today. We do not think the NAM is correct in its handling of geopotential height fields across the Mid-Atlantic
Discussion: The jet pattern, governing the thermal gradient boundary (boundary) remains locked in a configuration across S Canada/N US from W to E, then down over the Great lakes and through the Mid-Atlantic. For this upcoming system, it will be
Discussion: The jet stream pattern, dictating the thermal gradient boundary (boundary) remains in a configuration of blowing across S Canada W to E, dipping down over the E Great Lakes and running through the Mid-Atlantic US. This will keep those
Discussion: We’re going to return to daily article mode this week as there is a lot unfolding. And yes, I’m leaving the cover image up. First, our snow map issued yesterday for tomorrow (the light NNJ event) will stand as
Discussion: High pressure is moving through the Mid-Atlantic US. It will push cold air downward ahead of it (tonight and tomorrow), setting up a colder environment. The high will then depart the E US into the Atlantic Ocean and draw
Discussion: This morning featured some much-needed rainfall for the region. A temperature inversion inhibited the stronger winds from reaching the surface for some. Others saw some good gusts just ahead of the main convective squall that sparked a few severe
Discussion: Going to cover a few things today. The up-front stuff is high confidence, and the later stuff is lower confidence. First, of high confidence, is the synoptic-driven warmth that started today (Wednesday). High temperatures this afternoon reached into the
Discussion: We’re currently in an Arctic air mass that will be slow to erode mainly because of NW flow ahead of the approaching ridge and the fresh snow pack across NJ and to areas NW of NJ. It’s probably going
Discussion: This is now a lower-end Significant East Coast Storm (SECS) expectation. That’s right, weak SECS. We’ve beaten it to death since around Dec 3-5 (for subscribers) when the signal was identified and here it is coming to fruition. A
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